When the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox opened their four-game series up in the Bronx coming out of the All-Star break, Aaron Boone’s squad was staring at an eight-game deficit within the division. With a week passed since and the team logging four wins through five tries at online sportsbooks, it’s only cut the deficit to 7.5-games heading into Thursday’s series opener in Beantown. The BoSox simply don’t look to be going away anytime soon as it remains perched atop the division standings. In all honestly, the Tampa Bay Rays look to be their only true competition right now regardless of the injury-riddled Yankees recently taking two of three at home. They’ll give it the ‘ol college try of getting back in this thing with Saturday’s tilt set to square a couple of right-handers up against one another in Jameson Taillon and Nathan Eovaldi. Boston had won the first seven meetings between these hated rivals before New York won the most recent series.
First pitch for this AL East matchup between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox is scheduled for Saturday, July 24, 2021, at 4:05 p.m. ET from Fenway Park. The matchup will air live on FS1. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
MLB Betting Lines at BookMaker.eu
Odds Analysis
Even though New York’s roster has been decimated by injuries and COVID, the team has still found a way to win 80 percent of its five played games since the All-Star break. The mini run started by taking two of three from the BoSox, and was then followed up with a mini-sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies. While it put a small dent in the team’s overall deficit, it’s still down upwards of $700 overall on the season with nearly $350 of it absorbed on the road. Now 20 games over .500 for the season, the Red Sox continue to make money hand over fist for MLB bettors through their first 96 played games. In taking both tilts from the Blue Jays earlier in the week, Boston is now over $1500 in the black for its wagering supporters. Though a majority of the winnings have come on the road, Alex Cora’s troops have still gone on to win 28 of 47 played games in front of the hometown faithful.
Probable Pitchers
Jameson Taillon: Prop bettors and fantasy players have been waiting for Taillon to finally get back on track. Since getting rocked for nine hits (3 HR) and 5 ER against Shohei Ohtani and the Los Angeles Angels back on June 29, the right-hander has looked legit in his three most recent starts. He logged a pair of wins and a no-decision during that stretch by tossing 18.1 innings of 11 hit and 3 ER ball while racking up 16 K and only issuing five free passes. Most importantly, he only served up two home runs to lower his home run per nine innings to 1.6 for the year. He threw 5.1 innings of shutout ball at the Red Sox to earn the win in his last turn after Boston got to him for six hits and 3 ER in his prior start against them back on June 5.
Nathan Eovaldi: It’s bonkers to believe, but Eovaldi is currently in the discussion for the AL Cy Young Award after compiling a 9-5 record with a 3.57 ERA and 106:21 K/BB ratio through his first 19 starts. He’ll be out for some revenge in start No. 20 after the Yankees handed him a no-decision last weekend when he allowed just a pair of hits and 1 ER while tallying 7 K and only 1 BB in a matchup that paired him up with Gerrit Cole. The outing was extremely inefficient as he needed to throw 94 pitches just to get through five innings. In three starts against the Yankees to date, the righty has conceded 17 hits (2 HR) and 3 ER with a K/BB ratio of 20:1 over 18.2 combined innings. Boston’s won each of his last three home starts.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction
Though Taillon’s fortunes look to have turned around, I still need to see more from the right-hander before I fully buy back in. While he’s conceded 2 ER or less in five of his last six starts, it’s had more to do with the way he’s throwing at the opposition than the stuff being unhittable. His fastballs been legit, but his secondary offerings have continued to miss the mark. Boston already getting a chance to see his new pitch sequencing firsthand gives it the upper hand in the rematch. The Yankees will still be without a number of their power bats throughout this series. With that, I don’t foresee fill-ins like Rougned Odor and Greg Allen forcing Eovaldi out early once again. The Red Sox will be deserved mid-range favorites to win this game and I’ll be investing on them to do exactly just that.
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