The logjam that continues to be the AL East will either get tighter or see more distance put between the teams on Saturday night when the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox collide in the second game of their weekend set under the lights of FOX’s nationally televised broadcast. Getting the call for the visitor’s will be Jordan Montgomery who gets a tough assignment against a BoSox offense currently batting .265 against left-handed pitching No. 5. Going for the home team will be right-hander Nathan Eovaldi who last put a tally in the win column at online sportsbooks back on June 4 when he beat the Yankees by tossing six innings of 1 ER ball to set the tone for the series. Boston would ultimately sweep the Bronx Bombers in the hated rival’s only played series, so it’s pretty safe to assume Aaron Boone will have all hands on deck for the team’s first venture of the season into Fenway.
First pitch for this historic AL East rivalry between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox is scheduled for Saturday, June 26, 2021, at 7:15 p.m. ET from Fenway Park with live coverage airing on FOX. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
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Odds Analysis
Believe it or not, but the Boston Red Sox currently sit atop the AL East standings with a 44-29 record that’s earned MLB bettors over $1300 in baseball betting profits. Not bad for a team that brought up the rear of the standings after only managing 24 wins in the COVID shortened season. Its odds of winning the World Series initially hit the board at +4500 but can now be had at +1700. Since getting swept by Boston in early June, the Yankees have played a better brand of ball coming out on top in seven of their last 12 games. Even so, the team sat five games in back of the Red Sox for the division lead and down around $750 after dropping the series opener to the Royals on Tuesday night with Gerrit Cole on the bump. Boston sits three games over .500 as a host -$42, while New York clocks in 19-16 as visitors -$218. Both squads have made money for under bettors.
Probable Pitchers
Jordan Montgomery L: It hasn’t been easy sledding for JorMont in his season back from Tommy John surgery. The left-hander enters his 15th start 3-1 with a 4.03 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .238 batting average against. New York has come out victorious in only 43 percent of his starts of which 36 percent have been of quality. Last time out, he tossed 5.1 innings of 1 ER ball in a 2-1 loss to the Oakland A’s. The effort marked the third straight in which he failed to reach the sixth inning. Some positive regression should be in store for the lefty with his FIP half a run lower than his ERA. He’s also only conceding an average of 8.1 hits per nine innings. For it all to work however, his changeup must be on point. If not, he’ll likely offer up another session of batting practice. He’s 1-0 with a 4.13 ERA and .222 BAA through six career starts against the Red Sox, but has gotten ripped for a 6.59 ERA and .278 BAA in three Fenway starts.
Nathan Eovaldi R: The righty’s 3.90 ERA is tops on the starting staff. How Boston has finagled its way into first place with such a pedestrian pitching staff is beyond me. Talk about smoke and mirrors! Regardless, Eovaldi is a tough nut to crack. When he’s on, the Red Sox come out on top more times than not. When he’s not, Boston’s forced to play catch-up the entirety of the game. He didn’t have his “A” stuff last time out in Kansas City where the Royals tagged him for seven hits and four runs 3 ER through just four innings of work. The game prior, he tossed 6.2 innings of shutout ball against Vlad Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays. He’s fared well in seven career starts against the Yankees in going 2-2 with a 3.30 ERA and .173 BAA. While he’s only conceded a total of 3 HR with each coming at night, he’s allowed 57 hits and 27 ER over 56.2 innings pitched in his 10 home starts.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction
Fingers crossed an ump with a tight strike zone settles in behind the dish. I don’t trust either of these starting pitchers to go deep with a multitude of baserunners clogging up the base paths a majority of the game. Boston has murdered LHP to the tune of a .753 OPS No. 10 and averaged 4.6 runs per game. New York owns a .706 OPS against righties No. 14, but loves hitting in Fenway where it’s gone for an average of 5.6 runs per game in its last 10 visits. The Yankees being extra motivated to avenge the sweep and stick it to Eovaldi leads me to believe they hang a crooked number on the board. Look for the Red Sox to get theirs as well. Hit the over for the first five and full game provided Mother Nature and the home plate ump assignment cooperate with the positions.
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