The time for the Philadelphia Phillies to make a move in the NL East is now with the New York Mets suffering from some catastrophic losses in the starting rotation. Jacob deGrom is still months away from a possible return to the starting bump while Max Scherzer will be out of commission for at least six weeks due to an oblique injury. It’s now or never for Joe Girardi’s squad to eat into the 8-game deficit the team has fallen into within the division standings. As such, I firmly expect the “Fightin’ Phills” to make a statement through the weekend; especially on Sunday with a nationally televised audience taking all the action in live with all the betting action at online sportsbooks expected to be at a fever pitch. That being said, I’m not a fan of the supposed pitching matchup and thoroughly expect both offenses to dictate which team comes out the victor in the finale; provided weather doesn’t play a role as hot it’s recently been on the east coast.
First pitch for the series finale between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets is scheduled for Sunday, May 29, 2022, at 7 p.m. ET from Citi Field. This week’s Sunday Night Baseball telecast will air live on ESPN2. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
MLB Betting Odds at BookMaker.eu
Odds Analysis
The Phillies are currently tied with the Atlanta Braves for second place in the division. If ever there was a time to take a shot with Bryce Harper and Co. making a run to win the division pennant, it’s now! Philadelphia currently offers up a +615 return on investment to pull off the feat, and it knows full well this series is a must win if it’s to have any shot of trimming off some of the deficit. Coming off a dreadful homestand versus San Diego and Los Angeles that saw it only go 2-4, ground must be made up this week in Atlanta and New York. As for the Mets, Buck Showalter is currently overlooking one of the best stories in baseball through the first six-plus weeks of the season. It just logged back-to-back series wins over St. Louis and Colorado to move to 28-15 overall which finds it the second most lucrative bet in the game $672. It’s also come out on top in 13 of 21 played home games $145 and is the odds-on -240 favorite to win the NL East.
Probable Pitchers
Kyle Gibson R: The book of Gibson is one of the easier reads for MLB bettors to decipher on a gamely basis. If you want to back him, you do so when he pitches at home. When looking to fade the right-hander or are gravitating towards the over in the pitching matchup, you do so when he’s toeing the bump as a visitor. Gibson’s 3-1 at home with a 2.22 ERA and fantastic 24:2 K/BB ratio. He’s been hit at a .221 clip in allowing just 19 hits and 6 ER through 24.1 innings. It’s a much different story on the road where his ERA swells to 6.27 and WHIP to 1.71. Opponents are batting .276 against him on the road with the righty conceding 21 hits and 13 ER through 18.2 IP. The Mets average 4.8 runs per game against righties No. 4!
David Peterson L: It’s still unknown at the time of this writing who will indeed throw for New York in the series concluder. But with Peterson being called up to throw Monday’s series opener against the San Francisco Giants and having an off-day Thursday, it only makes perfect sense for the left-hander to get back on the bump on five-days’ rest. He made three starts for NY earlier this season earning one win and never once reaching the sixth inning. The lefty has been exceptionally serviceable only allowing 13 hits 1 HR and 4 ER through his 19 combined innings, but has had issues with Philly’s bats in the past in allowing 23 hits 6 HR and 14 ER through 27 total innings. I’m betting against him having the moxie to excel in both of this week’s starts!
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
As stated, the time is now for the Phillies to make a move within the division. The Mets have won all three series played in the 2022 rivalry with Philadelphia, but it’s susceptible now with two key cogs no longer in the starting rotation – Scherzer and Tylor Megill. As such, I’m thinking Alex Bohm and the offense flew their muscles throughout this series – especially Sunday night with it 7-5 and averaging 5.0 run per game against left-handed pitching. Pair Gibson being a professional batting practice tosser when on the road into the mix, and I like the over for the first five innings as well as the full game for Sunday night’s nationally televised finale. I’d go even larger with both investments should both teams throw their top-tier arms in the prior two games!
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