Winners of eight straight and 13 of 14 heading into Wednesday night’s finale in the abbreviated series with the Houston Astros, it’s safe to say the defending champs are once again firing on all cylinders for MLB bettors. Save for suffering a humbling sweep at the hands of their hated rivals through last weekend, the San Francisco Giants continue defying the odds to remain a player in the race for the NL West pennant as well as a spot in the playoffs. The third game of this extended four-game series is a pitching rematch that pits Anthony DeSclafani up against Julio Urias after the Dodgers punished the former for 10 ER which allowed the latter to cruise to his seventh win of the season. Urias closed a -130 favorite at online sportsbooks in the first go round, so expect to see him closer to -200 in the rematch with the total in the 7-8 run range. Dating back to last season, LA has ripped off five straight wins against the Giants by an average of 3.8 runs per game.
First pitch for the game between the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers is scheduled for Saturday, May 29, 2021, at 7:15 p.m. ET from Dodger Stadium. The matchup will air live on FOX. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
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Odds Analysis
With Tampa Bay shockingly sweeping the Blue Jays in Dunedin earlier in the week and San Fran having the brooms busted out on them last weekend, Gabe Kapler’s troops are no longer the best bet in the game. Still, No. 2 isn’t too shabby and neither is the $900+ worth of baseball betting profit the Giants have earned their wagering supporters through the team’s first 48 played games. San Francisco is about as balanced as can be both at home 14-7, $443 and the road 15-12, $458. Though the Dodgers haven’t dropped a game since May 16, it still rates out as a losing investment for MLB bettors with it down $162 overall regardless of the fact that it’s won 30 games. Dave Roberts’ squad has been tough as nails at home where it stands 16-6 and $127 in the black. That said, it’s only managed to split the last 10 games it welcomed the Giants into Chavez Ravine.
Probable Pitchers
Anthony DeSclafani: Leading up to last weekend’s home start against the Dodgers, “Tony Disco” was in a solid groove. He entered that outing fresh off a revenge bout against his former team in which he excelled limiting the Cincinnati Reds to just 6 hits 1 HR and 1 ER with a 7:2 K/BB ratio over seven strong innings. The end result turned into his third win of the season. DeSclafani rates out well for his new team in pitching to a 3.54 ERA, 3.57 FIP and 1.09 WHIP. While you’d like to see more strikeouts 8.2/9, he’s done a solid job limiting walks 2.6/9 and has only allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings. With that, his most recent outing was likely more an example of negative regression taking place paired with LA’s .794 OPS against right-handed pitching which is tops in the league.
Julio Urias: It’s simply not fair how good the Dodgers starting pitching has been with it ranked No. 1 in the quality start department and WHIP 30/1.04 and No. 2 in ERA 2.94. One through five, the Dodgers bring it on the starting bump! Urias has played an enormous role in allowing LA to attain those lofty rankings by going 7-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. If you can believe it, his 2.83 FIP outlines a pitcher that should be even better stat wise – what a coups for those that drafted him in fantasy and banked on his player props! The lefty has produced quality efforts six of the last seven times he took to the starting bump, and he’ll be in line for another in this spot against a San Francisco team that’s scored half a run less against southpaws than righties.
Giants vs. Dodgers Prediction
Having been forced to run up against Walker Buehler the game prior, Saturday’s bout against Urias also won’t be a walk in the park. That said, Urias hasn’t been as lights out at home 3.56 ERA/.223 BAA as he’s been on the road 2.53 ERA/.168 BAA. Having already gotten a chance to see how the left-hander will attack them, I fully expect Brandon Crawford and company to be more prepared for what’s about to come their way a second time around. While I lean towards backing “Tony Disco” at an inflated number in the rematch, I lean more so towards the under and expect runs to be much tougher to come by than when these arms matched up against one another last week. With that, I’ll make a full investment on the low side of the total once it hits the board but will also throw a beer money investment on the Giants moneyline as well.
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