The San Francisco Giants will attempt to get back on track through the weekend when Gabe Kapler’s troops host the St. Louis Cardinals in an extended four-game series between potential playoff entrants at online sportsbooks. Both squads have been in a rut of late with the Redbirds dropping three of their last four and the Giants coming up short in four of their last five. Because of it, it’s allowed division leaders Los Angeles and Milwaukee to secure a tiny bit more breathing room. The third game of this series pits left-hander Steven Matz up against right-hander Alex Cobb. Since Matz got roasted in his 2022 debut, he’s been locked in having led St. Louis to four straight wins. Cobb’s more or less been tossing BP throughout his limited work. As such, I lean towards taking a stab with the visitors in this showdown but favor runs hitting the board in this evening tilt.
First pitch for the non-divisional NL throw down between the St. Louis Cardinals and San Francisco Giants is scheduled for Saturday, May 7, 2022. Take it in live on FS1 at 7:15 p.m. ET from Oracle Park. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
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Odds Analysis
A grand total of 14 baseball teams have made money for their wagering supporters to this point of the season. The Cardinals and Giants represent two of them. At 13 games up and 10 games down, St. Louis has earned its backers a modest $51 worth of MLB betting profit. Most intriguing however is the $147 worth of profit earned when playing away from Busch Stadium. They’ve also excelled playing by the bay recently toppling the Giants in four of their last seven visits to Oracle Park. After dropping the series opener in Los Angeles on Tuesday night, San Fran stands 14-9 overall which has equated to a $206 overall return on investment. That being said, they’re down $80 for MLB bettors at home where they’ve only won six of 11 played games.
Probable Pitchers
Steven Matz L: The start to the season was ugly for the left-hander after he was ripped for nine hits 1 HR and 7 ER in a shocking home loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. St. Louis went off the board -215 chalk to win that game. Since then, the south paw has been dominant – at least from a W/L perspective - earning three wins by way of racking up an impressive 18:4 K/BB ratio against the Brewers, Reds, and Mets. However, he allowed 16 hits through his 14.2 combined innings which tells me he was lucky and got support from his offense and bullpen. The Giants have been terrible hitting against LHP to date No. 28, but stand 3-1 with an average of 3.3 runs scored. This will be another challenging start for the left-hander regardless.
Alex Cobb R: The results have been pretty blah for the veteran right-handers first three appearances for his new team. Most concerning is how hittable he’s been. After only serving up 85 hits over 93+ innings for the Los Angeles Angels a season ago, Cobb has been peppered for 14 hits through 10 overall innings pitched with the Giants. After racking up 10 K in his season debut against the San Diego Padres, he’s tallied just 4 K and 3 BB in his last two starts. The most recent one against Washington saw him get ripped for four hits and five runs 1 ER in just .2 innings of work. While the defense failed him early on, the three issued walks didn’t help matters. STL has been most effective versus RHP to date, so this will be another tough gig.
Cardinals vs. Giants Prediction
I’m not buying into Matz’s hot start to the season. He’s been getting hit but found ways to get out of seemingly every jam since getting roasted in his season debut. The Mets jumped on him last time out, and I got a feeling the same thing occurs this time through the rotation against the Giants. I have no faith in Cobb righting the ship either. This dude is simply old news; I expect San Francisco to admit to it sooner than later. With the first two matchups of this series headlined by intriguing starting pitching matchups, I’m thinking the third will allow for both offenses to relax and flex their muscles. As such, I’ll be hitting the over for the first five innings and full game and be rooting for runs to dent the scoreboard all game long.
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