Cynthia Calvillo is heavily favored against Katlyn Chookagian at UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez on Saturday, November 21 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Chookagian is 14-4 in her career, while Calvillo is 9-1-1 in her career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card on UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez, with the headliner a bout between Deiveson Figueiredo and Alex Perez. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN 2/ESPN+ and three on ESPN2/ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Chookagian and Calvillo and UFC predictions.
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Katlyn Chookagian (14-4, 7-4 UFC)
Chookagian came into the UFC with a record of 7-0 and she has seven wins and four losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has three wins and three losses. She defeated Joanne Calderwood by unanimous decision, Jennifer Maia by unanimous decision, and Antonina Shevchenko by unanimous decision; while losing to Jessica Eye by split decision, Valentina Shevchenko by TKO, and Jessica Andrade by TKO. Chookagian has been a pro since 2014 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Cynthia Calvillo (9-1-1, 6-1-1 UFC)
Calvillo came into the UFC with a record of 3-0 and she has six wins, one loss, and one draw in the UFC. She defeated Amanda Cooper by rear-naked choke submission, Pearl Gonzalez by rear-naked choke submission, Joanne Calderwood by unanimous decision, Poliana Botelho by rear-naked choke submission, Cortney Casey by unanimous decision, and Jessica Eye by unanimous decision; while losing to Carla Esparza by unanimous decision; and fighting to a draw against Marina Rodriguez. Calvillo has been a pro since 2016 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Chookagian 4.18/ Calvillo 4.21
Striking Accuracy: Chookagian 35% / Calvillo 44%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Chookagian 4.25/ Calvillo 3.37
Defense: Chookagian 62% / Calvillo 66%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Chookagian 0.30/ Calvillo 1.97
Takedown Accuracy: Chookagian 15% / Calvillo 46%
Takedowns defended: Chookagian 48% / Calvillo 69%
Submission average: Chookagian 0.5/ Calvillo 1.3
UFC Picks
Calvillo is getting a lot of love from seemingly everyone, including the oddsmakers, as she is listed as more than a 2-1 favorite. There is no question that Calvillo looks like the right side in this fight, but I really don’t like laying big prices. Chookagian is a tough fighter and she usually finds a way to go the distance, but I don’t think she is good enough to win this one. I like Calvillo, but the price is a bit high for me, so I will just take the rounds to go over the total.
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez Card & Odds
Flyweight Title - Alex Perez +235 vs. Deiveson Figueiredo -293
Women's Flyweight Title - Jennifer Maia +812 vs. Valentina Shevchenko -1500
Flyweight - Brandon Royval +154 vs. Brandon Moreno -186
Light Heavyweight - Mauricio Rua +147 vs. Paul Craig -176
Women Flyweight - Katlyn Chookagian +207 vs. Cynthia Calvillo -255
Welterweight - Tim Means +123 vs. Mike Perry -147
Middleweight - Jordan Wright +210 vs. Joaquin Buckley -259
Welterweight - Jared Gooden +118 vs. Alan Jouban -142
Middleweight - Dustin Stoltzfus +243 vs. Kyle Daukaus -303
Women's Flyweight - Ariane Lipski +130 vs. Antonina Shevchenko -157
Welterweight - Sasha Palatnikov +300 vs. Louis Cosce -386
Welterweight - Nicolas Dalby +243 vs. Daniel Rodriguez -303
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