Democrat Convention This Week

Presidential Election Betting: Since becoming the presumptive nominee of the Democrat Party, Kamala Harris has enjoyed a strong start to become the betting favorite against Republican nominee Donald Trump. Gamblers continue to gravitate to Harris based in large part on the “news” media that is acting as her publicity team. Harris refuses to talk to the media and yet gets the most favorable coverage since Barack Obama. The question is if Harris has an astroturf lead based on imagery and propaganda or if it is based on reality. When voters are polled on who they will vote for, Harris has a small lead. But when voters are polled on issues, Trump’s positions win by large margins. Therein lies the rub.

This week, the Democrat convention will take place in Chicago, likely creating more momentum for Harris.

2024 U.S. Presidential Election Betting Odds

U.S. 2024 Next President Elected

U.S. Presidential Election 2024 - Winning Party

Democratic Party -123

Republican Party +101

Other Party +27249

*Odds as of Monday, August 19, 2024

Will the Chicago Convention Be “Great Like ‘68?

Perhaps the most memorable political convention in American political history was in 1968, when the Democrats met in Chicago. At that time, incumbent President Lyndon Johnson had stood down the previous March because of the Vietnam War. Johnson’s Vice President, Hubert Humphrey, became the presumptive Democrat nominee without contesting any primaries. In June, Robert F Kennedy, brother of the slain President John F Kennedy, was assassinated after winning the California primary. In addition to the tumult, civil rights icon Martin Luther King was assassinated in April. The war, perpetual race riots throughout America, and the assassinations created a powder keg in the smothering summer heat of Chicago.

Chicago police clashed with protestors in the streets near the convention hall, making for terrible television optics. America recoiled at the violence, benefiting Republican nominee Richard Nixon, who went on to beat Humphrey in a squeaker for the presidency.

This week in Chicago, there is the threat of far bigger protests than what took place in 1968. Pro-Palestinian protesters vow to “Make it Great Like ’68.” They are instructing protesters to take police beatings and arrests to make their point deliberately. The leading protest group, Behind Enemy Lines, has posters up throughout the city that say “Fight Back for Gaza.” Among other slogans.

The last thing that Kamala Harris and the Democrats want is violence in the streets. The Democrats are trying to walk a fine line between not driving away wealthy Jewish donors who have long been the backbone of their fundraising efforts and the pro-Palestinian groups with large pockets of voters in Minnesota and Michigan.

So far, Harris has dealt with the tricky issue with silence and evasion, as she has with everything else.

Harris Self-Owns Inflation

At a Friday event, Harris made a serious, unforced error during a speech, literally admitting that bread and ground beef had increased in price by 50% since the pandemic. Donald Trump immediately made social media posts playing the video of Harris’ self-own with the end line by Trump saying, “I approve this message!”

The problem for Harris is that she can run, but she can’t hide from the Biden-Harris record of record, runaway inflation. In fact, Harris cast the deciding vote in the Senate for the current economic programs that are eating American budgets alive.

Despite getting a pass from the legacy media, social media is calling Harris out for her responsibility in the economic and border failures of America.

The key to the 2024 election is for Trump to gain some sense of self-control and not be so overtly unlikeable, especially to suburban women.

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