Is it actually coming home? For the first time since England won its lone World Cup in 1966, the Three Lions will be involved in an international final. They have benefited from being able to play five of their six matches at Wembley, and they will get to have the home crowd at their backs once again on Sunday. Italy is the toughest test that England has faced yet though. The Azzurri have not lost an international match since September 2018.
History will be made in the EURO 2020 Finals. This match will take place on Sunday, July 11, 2021, at 3 p.m. ET at Wembley Stadium in London, England.
UEFA EURO 2020 Odds at BookMaker.eu
England +183
Italy +179
Draw +213
Over/Under 2
Odds Analysis
Since suffering a 1-0 loss to Portugal in Nations League play back on September 10, 2018, Italy has not lost a match. The Azzurri tallied 22 wins and five draws before the start of EURO 2020, and they have continued to look untouchable at this competition. They outscored their opponents 7-0 in the Group Stage, and they have advanced over Austria, Belgium, and Spain on their way to the finals. Their toughest test was on Tuesday when they needed penalties to dispatch of long-time rival Spain.
England was one of the favorites to win EURO 2020 before the competition got underway. The English made it to the semifinals of the 2018 World Cup, and they continued to shine under Gareth Southgate in the run-up to this event. They didn’t allow a goal in seven straight matches before facing Denmark in the semifinals, and that’s when the Three Lions finally surrendered a score. They quickly leveled the affair before winning in extra time off a Harry Kane rebound from a penalty kick.
Both of these teams are excellent in defense. Italy has a great pair of experienced center backs in captain Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci. They have largely blunted opponents’ attacks, although Belgium and Spain each broke through once and had a handful of chances.
The Three Lions have been very strong in defense too with Harry Maguire and John Stones acting as the anchors in the back. However, they have yet to face a great attack. The two best attacks they have faced were from Germany and Croatia, and both of those teams are much less lethal than they were a few years ago.
These offenses are both very good too. Italy has many more options on the attack than usual, as Ciro Immobile, Lorenzo Insigne, and Federico Chiesa have all looked sharp at one point or another in this competition. The reserves are solid too, and the midfield is fantastic with Jorginho in the center and Marco Verratti and Nicolo Barella on the wings.
There is no dearth of scoring options for England. Harry Kane and Raheem Sterling are both sensational scorers, and Marcus Rashford is an excellent option to have off the bench. The midfield isn’t as strong as it could be though as Mason Mount and Bukayo Saka are still a bit young, and Jordan Henderson’s best football is behind him.
Matchup to Watch
England have players that can finish, but the midfielders haven’t created as many chances as they probably should have during this run for the Three Lions. Italy has one of the best defensive midfielders in the world in Jorginho, so it won’t be easy for England to get the ball to Kane and Sterling in good positions.
Free EURO 2020 Betting Pick
While England has a lot going for it ahead of this match, Italy is more battle-tested. The Azzurri had to outlast Belgium and Spain, and we have seen them continually beat the best teams over the last three years. There won’t be many chances, but Italy will make the most of its opportunities to win a second European Championship.
EURO 2020 Odds: Italy 2, England 0
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