Italy got off to a great start last Friday. The Azzurri hammered Turkey 3-0 to grab sole possession of first place in Group A. They had their chances in the first half and couldn’t break through, but they were able to pour it on in the second half with three goals in the span of 26 minutes. A win over Switzerland on Wednesday might be enough for Italy to win the group if Wales and Turkey draw earlier in the day.
Don't miss a second of EURO 2020. This match will be held at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy at 3 p.m. ET. Catch every moment of the match live on ESPN.
UEFA EURO 2020 Odds at BookMaker.eu
Italy -158
Switzerland +512
Draw +289
Over/Under 2 and 2.5
Odds Analysis
The Swiss are in need of a result in this match. Switzerland outplayed Wales in their game on Saturday, but they had to settle for a 1-1 draw at the end of the day. They controlled the ball for long stretches, and their midfield was great, but they couldn’t finish their chances.
It will be much more difficult for the Swiss to score against Italy. The Azzurri have now kept a clean sheet in nine straight matches after their shutout win against Turkey. Italy’s back line only allowed Turkey to take three shots in their opener, and their opponents had just 36.6% of the possession.
Haris Seferovic has to play better if Switzerland is going to break through and pick up a goal on Italy. Seferovic had his chances over the weekend against Wales, but he failed to convert any of them. That was a big part of why the Swiss had to settle for a draw. Switzerland had 18 shots compared to just nine for the Welsh, and they had nearly two-thirds of the possession.
The Swiss midfield was rock solid in their first match, and they are hoping to match that performance on Wednesday. Xherdan Shaqiri and Granit Xhaka were great in helping lead the attack, and Kevin Mbabu helped out a lot too. Italy presents much more of a challenge though.
Jorginho was fantastic in the middle of Italy’s formation against Turkey. He completed almost 94% of his passes in that game, and he set the tone of the attack from the midfield. He is one of the best all-around midfielders with his ability to disrupt opponents on the run, and Jorginho plays extremely well with Italy’s other two midfielders.
Nicolo Barella and Manuel Locatelli were very strong in support, and that helped Italy’s three forwards flourish. Ciro Immobile and Lorenzo Insigne both notched goals for the Azzurri against Turkey. This team is no longer playing 1-0 games with a heavy emphasis on defense, and it’s a treat to watch Italy come into the 21st Century with their style of play.
Matchup to Watch
Switzerland is going to have a hard time holding Italy down. Fabian Schar is solid in the back line, but there isn’t another great defender to feel confident about for this country. Yann Sommer is one of the more underrated goalkeepers at this tournament and will make a fabulous save or two. However, it’s going to be nigh impossible to keep Italy off the score sheet.
Free EURO 2020 Betting Pick
I don’t see how Italy loses this match. They were one of the most impressive teams of the tournament in their first game, and they are coming together nicely. The defense is superb and Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci are still playing at a high level, so don’t expect Switzerland to put one by Gianluigi Donnarumma.
EURO 2020 Odds: Italy 2, Switzerland 0
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