Poland must get a result out of its game with Spain on Saturday. The Poles could have absorbed a loss if they would have taken care of business against Slovakia in their first match on Monday. However, Poland fell 2-1 to Slovakia and watched Sweden hold Spain to a scoreless draw. That puts Poland at the bottom of Group E with zero points headed into their showdown with the favorites to win the group.
Don't miss a second of EURO 2020. This match will be held at Estado La Cartuja in Seville, Spain at 3 p.m. ET. Catch every moment of the match live on ABC.
UEFA EURO 2020 Odds at BookMaker.eu
Spain -253
Poland +763
Draw +407
Over/Under 2.5 and 3
Odds Analysis
Spain was the only favorite to win its group that failed to secure three points in its first match. La Roja were unable to get the job done against Sweden, despite possessing the ball for 85% of the match. The Spaniards had 17 shots compared to four for the Swedes, but they lacked the ability to finish. That was one of the main complaints about this team heading into EURO 2020, and those fears have borne out.
Alvaro Morata and Ferran Torres repeatedly struggled to finish in the final third. Sweden was doing all they could to park the bus and play for a draw, but world-class strikers are expected to have a flash of brilliance to get the goal their team needs in order to win the match. Dani Olmo was a little more dangerous than the other two forwards, but we might see Gerard Moreno or Mikel Oyarzabal up top to start against Poland rather than off the bench.
The Spanish back line is likely going to be tested more this time. Sweden only broke out to counter a few times, but they nearly scored on two separate occasions. Poland has a world class striker in Robert Lewandowski, and he is due for a massive breakout for his country at a major international tournament.
Poland won’t have their No. 10 available for this match though. Grzegorz Krychowiak was sent off after his second yellow against Slovakia in the first game. That will really hurt since Poland doesn’t have a lot of talent in the midfield.
La Roja are hoping to have captain Sergio Busquets back for this game. Their erstwhile presence in the defense had to miss the last tune-up and the Sweden game after testing positive for COVID-19. Aymeric Laporte was instead the lynchpin of the defense in his absence, but this back line would be better with Busquets alongside him.
Matchup to Watch
All eyes will be on the Spanish attack in this match. Following their scoreless draw with Sweden, there are many doubters about this team’s ability to win it all. They no longer have clinical finishers like David Villa, David Silva, or Fernando Torres on the roster.
Morata was supposed to eventually be the answer to this question, but he continues to be inconsistent. His club teams have discovered this firsthand despite his immense talent, and it has played out for the national team lately too. They might be able to survive Poland without a bonafide scoring threat, but their chances of keeping pace with the other top teams are slim without one.
Free EURO 2020 Betting Pick
Lewandowski will get off the mat and bag a goal, but Spain will cash in on the pressure this time. Look for an unlikely goal scorer as La Roja will throw more players forward in order to get a much needed win in Group E.
EURO 2020 Odds: Spain 2, Poland 1
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