Israel Adesanya is slightly favored against Dricus Du Plessis at UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya on Sunday, August 18, 2024 in Perth, Australia, but because of the time difference, it will start on Saturday night, August 17 Eastern Time. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Du Plessis is 21-2 in his career, while Adesanya is 24-3 in his career. There are a total of 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN2/ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya. Let’s look at the bout between Du Plessis and Adesanya and UFC predictions.
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya takes place at RAC Arena in Perth, Australia on Sunday, August 18, 2024 but because of the time difference, it will start on Saturday night, August 17 Eastern Time with 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN2/ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya Betting
Dricus Du Plessis (21-2, 7-0 UFC)
Plessis came into the UFC with a record of 14-2 and he has seven wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Markus Perez by KO, Trevin Giles by KO, Brad Tavares by unanimous decision, Darren Till by face crank submission, Derek Brunson by TKO, Robert Whittaker by TKO, and Sean Strickland by split decision. Du Plessis’s last loss in his career was against Roberto Soldic by KO in October of 2018. Du Plessis has been a pro since 2013 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and 10 by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Israel Adesanya (24-3, 13-3 UFC)
Adesanya came into the UFC with a record of 11-0 and he has 13 wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Marvin Vettori by unanimous decision, Robert Whittaker by unanimous decision, Jared Cannonier by unanimous decision, and Alex Pereira by KO; while losing to Alex Pereira by TKO and Sean Strickland by unanimous decision. Adesanya has been a pro since 2012 and he has 16 wins by TKO/KO and eight by decision. He has seven first round finishes.
Adesanya said this to mmanews.com about his upcoming fight against Du Plessis, “A bit like Vettori to be honest but he’s just more of a risk taker than Vettori. So yeah, I don’t think I’ll have an issue dealing with what he brings but it’s the intangibles, the unknown unknowns. He takes way more risks than Vettori so that’s what makes him really dangerous.”
Robert Whittaker said this to bjpenn.com about the upcoming fight between Du Plessis and Adesanya, “They are 50-50 odds, that is how much I think either one can sway. I think there is a 50 percent chance Izzy kind of keeps him at his end of the jab, utilizes that spacing, doesn’t have his back get put against the fence, defend some takedowns, and ultimately wins by decision. I also think there is a 50 percent chance; Dricus does what he did to Strickland. Pushes into that space, takes him down, wears him out, and turns it into a dogfight. Doesn’t get a finish, but drags it out that he still is the remaining champ. 50-50, my money is on those two results, kinds of methods of winning.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Du Plessis 6.49 / Adesanya 3.93
Striking Accuracy: Du Plessis 50% / Adesanya 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Du Plessis 4.77 / Adesanya 3.11
Defense: Du Plessis 55% / Adesanya 56%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Du Plessis 3.00/ Adesanya 0.05
Takedown Accuracy: Du Plessis 51% / Adesanya 14%
Takedowns defended: Du Plessis 40% / Adesanya 77%
Submission average: Du Plessis 0.8/ Adesanya 0.1
UFC Picks
What an excellent main event this should be between two very evenly matched fighters. I normally go with Adesanya anytime he steps into the Octagon, but Du Plessis is really good. I agree with what Whittaker said that this is a toss-up fight. I also agree with him that there is a good chance this one goes to a decision. I’ll go over the rounds total as my top UFC pick in this fight.
DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
08/17 | Israel Adesanya | -125 |
Dricus Du Plessis | -105 |
08/17 | Steve Erceg | -160 |
Kai Kara France | +127 |
08/17 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | -220 |
Tai Tuivasa | +172 |
08/17 | Valter Walker | +110 |
Junior Tafa | -140 |
08/17 | Ricky Glenn | +150 |
Song Kenan | -190 |
08/17 | Carlos Prates | -345 |
Li Jingliang | +258 |
08/17 | Ricardo Ramos | +120 |
Josh Culibao | -150 |
08/17 | Herbert Burns | +524 |
Jack Jenkins | -850 |
08/17 | Alex Reyes | +737 |
Tom Nolan | -1450 |
08/17 | Dan Hooker | +250 |
Mateusz Gamrot | -333 |
08/17 | Stewart Nicoll | -240 |
Jesus Aguilar | +186 |
08/17 | Luana Santos | -160 |
Casey O’Neill | +127 |
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