My three-team parlay last week blew up in my face pretty quickly. The Columbus Crew were fortunate to settle for a draw against New York City FC after Juan Camilo Hernandez Suarez picked up a red card for the home side in the 68th minute. Sean Zawadzki had to score in the fourth minute of extra time for the Crew to pick up a point, but at least they fared better than Minnesota United.
I pegged the Loons to pick up a win at home against Austin FC, but instead they put together one of their worst performances of the season in a 4-1 loss. Minnesota United had some early chances, but Austin ended up scoring three goals in the span of 16 minutes to put the game away. Sebastian Driussi notched a brace in six minutes as Austin FC picked up a much-needed road win.
Funnily enough, my best bet had the biggest payoff and was the one underdog I put in the parlay. The Los Angeles Galaxy continue to turn things around while the Philadelphia Union keep struggling, as the Galaxy defeated the Union 3-1 in LA. The hosts had more possession and carried the day thanks to more and better scoring opportunities even if the game was higher scoring than expected. The xG numbers had the Galaxy ahead by a margin of 1.4 to 0.7.
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MLS Parlay Picks for Saturday, July 15, 2023
FC Cincinnati -0.5 -102
Nashville SC +0.5 -122
Over/Under 2.5
Atlanta United -0.5 +105
Orlando City SC +0.5 -127
Over/Under 2.5 and 3
$100 Parlay to Win $225.25
After going with three home teams last week, I’m rolling with two away teams this weekend. In the first leg of my two-team parlay, I’m betting against the best team in the league in FC Cincinnati. The Orange and Blue have been the most surprising team of the year and are running away with the Supporters’ Shield. FC Cincinnati have only dropped two games and have eight more points than any other team in the MLS, but their goal differential numbers stick out like a sore thumb. They have 12 more wins than losses, yet they are just +12 in GD.
Nashville SC boasts the best back line in the league. The Coyotes have only allowed 19 goals through 23 matches, and they have the reigning league MVP in Hany Mukhtar. Most MVP winners have a letdown the following season, but there’s a good chance that Mukhtar is the first back-to-back Landon Donovan MVP winner in league history. A whopping 70% of Nashville’s goals have been directly contributed by Mukhtar who has a sterling 13 goals and eight assists through 22 games.
The combination of the best defense in the league, Hany Mukhtar, and an FC Cincinnati team that isn’t as good as its record indicates has me looking to go with the visitors for my first bet. I am riding with Orlando City SC as my second choice even though Atlanta United has dominated this series between southeast rivals. Atlanta United has earned a result in 16 of its 19 matches against Orlando City, but the Five Stripes aren’t at full strength right now.
Star newcomer Giorgos Giakoumakis suffered an undisclosed injury against the Philadelphia Union two weeks ago. The Five Stripes have struggled on offense since that point as Giakoumakis was the main man in this offense with 10 goals in 16 matches. Thiago Almada has done his best with eight goals and 10 assists, but there is no one else that is a true finisher on ATLUTD. Meanwhile, Duncan McGuire is a young star in the making for Orlando, and he can help the Lions keep it close.
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