The Philadelphia Eagles started last season with their collective head on fire, winning 10 of their first 11 games (6-2-3 ATS). However, their momentum came to a screeching halt during a brutal six-game stretch that included matchups against the Cowboys, Chiefs, Bills, 49ers, and another game against the Cowboys – a grueling lineup by any standard. To make matters worse, the team was plagued by injuries, with the secondary taking a hit and key players like Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown playing hurt. Brown ultimately bowed out, leaving his teammates to face Tampa Bay in the playoffs without him. The Eagles lost that game 32-9, despite having previously dominated the Buccaneers 25-11 in Week 3. This loss to the Bucs was just one of several disappointing defeats for the reigning NFC champs. Think they forgot about the 42-19 drubbing at the hands of the San Francisco 49ers in front of the Linc faithful? I sure as heck don’t! GM Howie Roseman did a whale of a job strengthening the roster in the offseason via the draft, trades, and free agency. I forecast the Eagles to bury their season win total odds because of it, and have a better shot at representing the NFC in Super Bowl LIX than the current futures odds suggest. Let’s delve into Philly’s offseason moves to understand why I’m so optimistic about the Eagles heading into the 2024-25 NFL betting season.
NFL Regular Season Wins Odds
Philadelphia Eagles 2024-25 Regular Season Win Total Odds
Eagles Over 10.5 Wins -142
Eagles Under 10.5 Wins +122
A Case for the Over: Even when not at full strength, the Eagles fielded a top-10 offensive unit that averaged over 354 yards and nearly 26 points per game. Jalen Hurts returns to lead Philadelphia's offensive charge, supported by A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert. Hurts' dual-threat capability contributed to the Eagles boasting the league's eighth-ranked rushing attack, which averaged over 128 yards per game against opposing defenses. While D'Andre Swift, Kenneth Gainwell, and Boston Scott all played roles, the Eagles made a significant offseason move by adding Saquon Barkley to their roster, solidifying their backfield with one of the NFL's premier talents. It didn’t hurt that it weakened a division rival‘s backfield in the process. Even with the retirement of standout center Jason Kelce, Philadelphia's offensive line remains among the best in the league. Both Hurts and Barkley are expected to attract considerable attention from player prop bettors each week because of it. Similar to their 2022-23 Super Bowl run, the Eagles' offense is poised to hang a bunch of crooked numbers, allowing their revamped defense to pin their ears back and apply pressure to consistently disrupt the opposition. This offense promises to be must-see wagertainment, contingent upon avoiding the injury bug that ransacked the team last year.
A Case for the Under: The decline of the defense from the previous season proved decisive, exacerbated by the oversight of both Sean Desai and Matt Patricia throughout the year. While the unit performed well against the run (No. 10), it struggled significantly against the pass, allowing over 252 yards on average and conceding 2+ passing touchdowns per game. Despite leading the league with 70 sacks the year prior, the pass rush managed only 43 in the 2023-24 season, resulting in the defense yielding the league’s most explosive pass plays on third downs. Following Haason Reddick's trade to the Jets, Bryce Huff was acquired from New York to bolster the linebacker corps. However, the primary issue remains defending against the pass, with the secondary relying heavily on returning veterans Darius Slay Jr. and Avonte Maddox, both recovering from injuries. Rookies Quinyon Mitchell and DeJean Cooper are also expected to contribute, aiming to elevate the pass defense rankings. While new defensive coordinator Vic Fangio may have an immediate impact, similar to his tenure with the Dolphins, there's concern about potential late-season breakdowns due to injuries, echoing past challenges in Philadelphia.
2024-25 Philadelphia Eagles Schedule
If ever there was a team with something to prove, it's the 2024-25 Philadelphia Eagles. This team seemed poised for another Super Bowl run after winning 10 of their first 11 games. Although they didn't make it, I believe their end-of-season collapse and first-round playoff loss to a lesser opponent will serve as the motivation they need to go all the way. Let's not forget their dominance during their previous Super Bowl run, where many, including me, felt the referees stole the title away from Philadelphia. Last season, the Eagles faced one of the toughest schedules in the league. This year, however, the NFL schedule makers did them a solid, with Sharp Football Analysis ranking their schedule as the ninth easiest when taking opponent win totals into consideration. Their schedule includes matchups against the NFC South, AFC North, an international season opener against the Green Bay Packers in Brazil, the Jacksonville Jaguars, and a road game against the Los Angeles Rams. Only six of their 14 opponents are currently favored to make the playoffs, and they're only underdogs in three games according to the full season NFL odds. By the time Week 10 rolls around, I bet they'll be favored against Dallas! In summary, I think the Eagles are the team to beat in the NFC. I strongly recommend logging into your online sportsbook and adding the Eagles to your Super Bowl LIX futures odds portfolio right now!
NFL Win Total Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles Over 10.5 Wins
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