The Kansas City Chiefs will look to make NFL history in Super Bowl LIX, aiming for their third straight Lombardi Trophy in a rematch against the Philadelphia Eagles, whom they defeated in Super Bowl LVII to start the streak. KC secured its spot by handling the Buffalo Bills in the AFC title game, while Philadelphia punched a return ticket by dismantling the Washington Commanders to claim the NFC crown. The Chiefs enter as 1.5-point favorites, with the total set at 48.5. A massive 453 prop bets are already available, with more expected to hit the board before kickoff. Let’s dive into some standout props and see if we can get ahead of potential line moves before the public starts weighing in this week.
NFL Betting Lines
Isiah Pacheco Over 22.5 Rushing Yards
I get that Pacheco has taken a backseat to Kareem Hunt in the playoffs, but this number is absurdly low for a Chiefs running back that will have had two full weeks to rest his surgically repaired leg. Yes, he logged just five carries to Hunt’s 17 in the AFC Championship Game and has only 30 total rushing yards this postseason, but I fully expect Andy Reid to make him a bigger part of the game plan against an Eagles run defense (No. 10) that’s more vulnerable on the ground than through the air (No. 1).
Pacheco’s motor is one of the best in the league—he runs hard every snap and I expect nothing less in this one. I also love the over on his longest rush prop (8.5 yards) at plus money. While Philly shut down Washington’s ground game, both Josh Jacobs and Kyren Williams ripped off 30+ yard runs in the two games prior. Pacheco is being overlooked, making him a strong value play. Be sure to add him to your Super Bowl LIX props portfolio in some capacity.
Saquon Barkley Under 23.5 Longest Rush
This prop bet won’t be for the faint of heart! Every time he touches the ball, we’ll be holding our breath—especially after Saquon Barkley ripped off three 60+ yard touchdown runs against the Rams and Commanders. That said, Kansas City has allowed just one 100-yard rusher all season—and it wasn’t even a running back. Check the box score from their Week 1 showdown against the Baltimore Ravens.
Kansas City allows just 101.8 rushing yards per game (No. 8) and 4.2 yards per carry (No. 9). Yes, Steve Spagnuolo’s defense gave up solid performances to Joe Mixon and James Cook recently, but do you really think his game plan won’t be designed to shut down No. 26? I certainly do. If Saquon Barkley is to exceed his 114.5-yard rushing prop, he’ll have to earn every yard against Chris Jones and a tough Chiefs front. Even if he clears it, it will likely be due to volume—his rushing attempts prop is currently set at 21.5. Hold off on this proposition wager for now. With public money expected to pour in on Barkley’s overs, there’s a good chance this number moves back up.
Travis Kelce Over 63.5 Receiving Yards + Anytime Touchdown
After dominating the Texans in the Divisional Round with seven catches for 117 yards and a touchdown, Travis Kelce was a non-factor in the AFC Championship Game, managing just two receptions for 19 scoreless yards on four targets. While Xavier Worthy drew most of the passing-game attention against Buffalo, expect Patrick Mahomes to lean on his most trusted target in the biggest game of the season.
The Eagles allowed just 41.5 yards per game and seven touchdowns to tight ends during the regular season, but Vic Fangio’s defense struggled against the position in the playoffs. Tucker Kraft caught all five of his targets for 26 yards, Tyler Higbee turned seven receptions into 54 yards and a touchdown, and Zack Ertz torched them in the NFC title game with 11 catches for 104 yards on 16 targets. That trend makes Kelce a strong Super Bowl LIX prop bet, and he could be in for a monster performance. Don’t be shocked if No. 87 gets his number called as the MVP—taking a shot at +1560 is worth a sprinkle.
BookMaker offers play-by-play betting odds for live sporting events every day! The user-friendly wagering interface on your smartphone provides an easy way to place bets on the go. Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute, so click here to start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker Sportsbook!
Check out the latest odds at BookMaker
