You can bet on quarterback props at BookMaker.eu, including props on Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Considered one of the top quarterbacks in the league, Rodgers has some issues with Packers management, but he is still going to be under center this season and he is expected to put up big numbers. Let’s look at the two Aaron Rodgers props available at BookMaker, number of passing touchdowns and total passing yards.
Aaron Rodgers Regular Season Passing Touchdowns
35.5 over -127
35.5 under -103
At first glance this number on Rodgers passing touchdowns for 2021 seems low. Rodgers completed 70.7% of his attempts last season and threw for 4,299 yards and 48 touchdown passes. For Rodgers to go under the current number of 35.5 his production would have to drop by about 25%. Could that happen? Let’s take a look.
Looking at the last six seasons we see that Rodgers threw 31, 40, 16, 25, 26 and 48 touchdown passes. Keep in mind that the 16 TD pass season was one in which Rodgers played only seven games. An important thing to remember is that all teams will play 17 games this season, so Rodgers has an extra game to put up more big numbers.
The NFL is now a passing league and you have to have a really good reason to bet a passing prop to go under. The only real thing that would prevent Rodgers from going over this number of 35.5 is injury. If Rodgers plays 17 games, then this number is simply too low.
Aaron Rodgers Regular Season Passing Yards
4550.5 over -115
4550.5 under -115
Rodgers finished seventh in passing yards last season, as he threw for 4,299 yards. That means he threw for just over 268 yards per game. If you take his 4,299 yards and add another 268 yards for another game, then you get 4,567 yards. Rodgers would have gone over this number in a 17-game season a total of seven times in the last 12 years. Many people are talking about multiple quarterbacks throwing for over 5,000 yards this season. People are even talking about a quarterback throwing for more than 6,000 yards this season.
If you are going to bet the under then you are betting that the Green Bay defense will be stronger and Green Bay will get out to big leads and run the ball more often. The Packers are expected to have a good, but not great defense and it could be that the Packers will have a weaker defense this season and that would force Rodgers to put up more yards and more points.
Aaron Rodgers Props Predictions
It is really hard to make a case for taking the under on either of these props. The Packers are a team that can run the ball, but Rodgers is very focused on statistics and he will put up big numbers. It is really hard to believe that he will go under on TD passes and on yardage. I have watched plenty of Green Bay games over the years and if Rodgers hasn’t thrown for a TD pass or two, he will look to throw the ball late in the game to make sure he pads his stats.
There are two factors that are at least worth mentioning if you are looking at the under on either of these two props. First, Rodgers has his beef with Green Bay management, so there could be some team issues if Green Bay gets off to a tough start. Second, Rodgers is no longer considered the best quarterback in the league and he is getting up there in age. I don’t know if an injury is in his future, but the older you get, the more likely it is that you have trouble staying healthy.
I don’t think a potential injury or the trouble that Rodgers has with Green Bay management is enough reason to take the under on either of these props. A 17-game season makes it more likely that Rodgers goes over the total on both of these props in 2021.
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