The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers are the favorites to play in New Orleans in February. But until then they’ll meet in Santa Clara in a Week 7 regular season tilt. The last time the Chiefs were getting points on the NFL betting line at the Bitcoin Sportsbook was this past February in Super Bowl LVIII against the Niners when they were 2.5-point dogs. They won outright, 25-22, for their third Super Bowl title in five years with two of them against the Niners. Those victories are part of four straight wins the Chiefs have in the series, but the Niners are an early line 1.5-point favorite.
NFL Betting Lines
Chiefs at 49ers Betting Lines
Kansas City Chiefs +1.5
San Francisco 49ers -1.5
Over / Under 46.5
Chiefs at 49ers Same Game Parlay Picks
Chiefs +1.5
Chiefs / 49ers OVER 46.5
Patrick Mahomes OVER 238.5 Passing Yards
One of the marquee games on the Week 7 slate will attract a lot of attention from fans, pundits and bettors. No team has won three consecutive Super Bowls, but the Chiefs are the futures odds favorite with Frisco second on the board. The team’s records through six weeks suggest the Niners may be a little overrated. They are 3-3 with losses to Arizona and the LA Rams blowing a double-digit second half lead in both contests. And they’ve had zero success against the Chiefs over the last few years.
The Niners’ current run of four straight losses to KC started in Week 3 in 2018 when they also lost their starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo to a knee injury and finished the year 4-12. Then there were the two Super Bowl losses with a 2022 home setback in between. Patrick Mahomes was magnificent in that game throwing for 423 yards and three touchdowns as the offense amassed 529 yards in the 44-23 verdict. The Chiefs covered the spread in all four games.
We’ve seen the teams put up some big numbers offensively in the past. In the last four games with Mahomes at the helm in each one, the Chiefs averaged 441 yards and 34.5 points per game. And in those games Mahomes has thrown for an average of 339 yards with no fewer than 286 passing yards. That makes his passing yards total of 238.5 look small so I’m backing the OVER on my NFL parlay.
The offense hasn’t quite been what we’ve become accustomed to seeing. But the Chiefs were so efficient for so many years they raised the bar to an almost unreachable level. They still rank 11th in the NFL in total yards with the ninth best passing attack. After a slow start Travis Kelce has become a main cog in the offense hauling in nine receptions last week with Mahomes having his best game with 331 passing yards.
The Niners will win the weak NFC West and reach the playoffs this season. But there is work to be done with injuries taking a toll on both sides of the ball. Though KC’s offensive numbers have dipped so have the numbers of the Niners defense, giving Mahomes and his group enough wiggle room to up the point total, which is critical for getting a road victory. KC has started 5-0 thanks to the defense, and right now the group will have to maintain its level of play for KC to have a shot at a three-peat.
The playoffs are still well in the future and with Mahomes and Co. looking sharper on offense they have plenty of time to catch up. The Chiefs have the sixth-best scoring defense allowing only 17.0 points per game and they’ve been stingy against the run. The Niners have enough playmakers to keep their offense humming and the group will help go OVER the total. I do like the Chiefs on the road and will take the points to back them on my parlay.
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