A huge matchup featuring the top two teams in the AFC takes place on Sunday when the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs visit the Buffalo Bills. Easily the marquee game on the NFL Week 11 slate, the contest will attract plenty of attention at your Bitcoin Sportsbook. The teams have split the last six meetings but the Chiefs won the most important games with all of their victories coming in the playoffs, including last season’s in Buffalo in the Divisional Round. Buffalo has all but secured the AFC East title and has KC in the crosshairs for the top seed in the conference. This is a must-win if the Bills are to overtake their nemesis. The Bills are 4-0 at home this season and listed as a 2.5-point favorite on the early line to extend their streak.
NFL Betting Lines
Chiefs at Bills Betting Lines
Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 / ML +122
Buffalo Bills -2.5 / ML -138
Over / Under 46.5
I’ve gone a few weeks without hitting a Sunday NFL same game parlay after missing in last week’s Philadelphia-Dallas game. I successfully backed the Eagles at -7 and it wasn’t close. They beat the Boys soundly 34-6. However, I did expect a little more offensively from Dallas even though Dak Prescott is out. The Cowboys failed to score a touchdown and a play that epitomized their season was CeeDee Lamb’s drop in the end zone when the sun hampered his vision. In all it was a feeble performance by Dallas with a total of only 146 yards – for the game!
We’ll move on to teams that are more proficient offensively with quarterbacks who can make things happen. We’ve seen some epic battles between Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen and there’s a good chance we get another one. A Bills win won’t make up for the three times in the last four seasons KC ended their season, but it will give them some satisfaction. And handing Mahomes his first loss of the year would be a bonus. The teams are heading for another postseason clash with Buffalo having a little edge should they win.
The Bills have been really good offensively during their five-game winning streak scoring at least 30 points in each of the last four. They are 4-1 ATS and against the OVER in that stretch. They also proved last week that they can win when Allen isn’t the main cog. Taron Johnson had a pick-six and James Cook scored a rushing TD in the 30-20 triumph over the Colts. For only the second game Allen failed to throw a TD pass and he was intercepted twice. All four of his picks this season have come in the last three games.
Over the last few years the Chiefs have switched gears. No longer are they lighting up the scoreboard rather they’re winning with strong defensive play. Last season they boasted the second-best scoring and total defense in the NFL and had the second-most sacks. This season they rank among the top 5 allowing fewer than 290 yards a game and 17.9 points.
The Chiefs are still lethal with Mahomes running the show and the addition of DeAndre Hopkins should eventually improve a passing attack that averages 231.6 yards. At some point the Chiefs are going to lose. They have won 15 straight games overall dating back to last season and the odds against that continuing get higher. Good teams find a way to win and the Chiefs have done that with seven of their games decided by seven points or less. Facing their first defeat of the season last week, special teams came up large blocking a potential game-winning Denver field goal in the final seconds.
I like the Chiefs but they are playing with fire. And eventually they’re going to get burned. Buffalo will be geeked up for this game and turnovers will play a part in the outcome. Mahomes has thrown nine interceptions, the second-most in the NFL, and Buffalo has a NFL-best plus-13 turnover differential with 11 picks. A few Mahomes miscues will allow the Bills to stop the streak.
Chiefs at Bills Same Game Parlay Picks
Bills -2.5
Chiefs / Bills UNDER 46.5
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