The Kansas City Chiefs visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday Night Football on NBC. The Chiefs have the second-best record in the NFL at 8-1 and they are coming off their bye, while the Raiders are 6-3 and coming off a win over Denver. The Chiefs have won four straight games, while the Raiders have won three in a row. The only loss this season for the Chiefs came in Week 5, as they were beaten by the Raiders 40-32 in Kansas City. Let’s look at Sunday Night Football and NFL picks.
NFL Odds at Bookmaker.eu
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders
Date and Time: Sunday, November 22, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Week 11 NFL Odds: Chiefs -6.5, 57
Chiefs vs. Raiders TV Coverage: NBC
Can the Raiders actually beat the Chiefs twice in the same season? Kansas City didn’t play that well in the first meeting against Las Vegas but this time around the Chiefs are coming off a bye and they will be playing with revenge. All is not well with Kansas City though, as they have some major injury concerns on their offensive line. If the Raiders can put some pressure on Patrick Mahomes they may have a chance to pull off the season sweep. Kansas City is listing tackles Mitchell Schwartz and Eric Fisher as being questionable. Mike Remmers is also listed as questionable. The Chiefs are also without wide receivers Mecole Hardman and Sammy Watkins.
Key Matchup
The problems for the Chiefs on their offensive line could cause Mahomes some protection issues on Sunday. Schwartz hasn’t played wince Week 6 but he is close to returning. The Raiders sacked Mahomes three times in their Week 5 win against the Chiefs. Kansas City is expected to fill in the offensive line with Nick Allegretti, Yasir Durant, Daniel Kilgore, Austin Reiter and Andrew Wylie. The key matchup to watch on Sunday could be the Kansas City offensive line against the Raiders defensive front.
Key Trends
The Chiefs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings on the road against the Raiders. The Chiefs are 9-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Chiefs are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. the AFC West. The Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the AFC West. The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Under is 6-1 in the Chiefs last 7 road games. The Under is 7-3 in the Chiefs last 10 vs. the AFC West. The Under is 20-6 in the Raiders last 26 vs. the AFC West. The Under is 22-9 in the last 31 meetings in this series.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Free Pick
The public is likely to be playing the Chiefs and the game over the total. The public almost always likes taking favorites and overs and Sunday night should be no exception. I am slightly tempted to look at the Raiders plus the points, but I don’t trust Derek Carr and there is no question the Chiefs are the better team and they will not be looking past Las Vegas. I think the better choice is the total. I know that these teams combined for 72 points in Week 5, but this total of 57 is very high and the trends support taking the under. The Kansas City defense has played well in every other game except the one against Las Vegas, as they have held other opponents to 17.9 points per game. I think Kansas City’s offensive line issues will cause Andy Reid to run the ball more and we know that Jon Gruden will want to run the ball. I expect more of a time possession game on Sunday night, so I will go against the public and take the game under the total.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 11 ATS Pick: Under 57
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