What a difference a year makes! The Dallas Cowboys are once again the owners of 9.5-game season win total odds. Last year, the betting markets were hitting the over with reckless abandon so much so that online sportsbooks attached ludicrous -155 juice to the impost. Now in year two of the Mike McCarthy regime, the outlook on the Cowboys looks to have cooled with -113 vig on the under. Regardless, with a healthy Dak Prescott back under center a year removed from suffering a gruesome ankle injury, Big D is the current +126 favorite to win the NFC East and sits only behind the Buccaneers, Rams, 49ers, Packers and Seahawks on the futures odds to win the NFC. Dallas finished third in the division a season ago largely because of a defense that couldn’t stop anyone to save its life. Will the additions of Micah Parsons, Kelvin Joseph and a number of other defensive free agents be enough to turn the tide? Even if it’s not, Dallas is going to possess one of the more lethal offensive attacks in the game that should lead to both player prop and fantasy goodness over the course of the regular season.
Dallas Cowboys Season Win Total: 9.5 Under -113
While the defense was targeted for improvement throughout the offseason, the biggest signing came in the form of re-inking Prescott to a $160M contract that will have him calling the shots as Dallas’s QB1 for the next four seasons. With the NFC East on the up-and-up as a whole, his services will be sorely needed; and hopefully appreciated. With just one over cash in the last four seasons, you know Jerry Jones will expect his squad to hit the ground running and never look back. If not, heads will likely roll! It’s not good that McCarthy currently finds himself installed the +700 favorite on the futures odds to become the first coach to get axed heading into the regular season. Should the Cowboys get out to a slow start – games at Tampa Bay and the Chargers look tough - making the decision to do so will be made easier considering Sharp Football Stats have the Cowboys owners of the sixth easiest schedule strength heading into the regular season.
NFL Regular Season Wins Odds at BookMaker
Dallas Cowboys Football Schedule
Week 1: Cowboys at Buccaneers, Thursday, September 9, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC Network
Week 2: Cowboys at Chargers, Sunday, September 19, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 3: Eagles at Cowboys, Monday, September 27, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN
Week 4: Panthers at Cowboys, Sunday, October 3, 1 p.m. ET
Week 5: Giants at Cowboys, Sunday, October 10, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 6: Cowboys at Patriots, Monday, October 17, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 7: Bye Week
Week 8: Cowboys at Vikings, Sunday, October 31, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Week 9: Broncos at Cowboys, Sunday, November 7, 1 p.m. ET
Week 10: Falcons at Cowboys, Sunday, November 14, 1 p.m. ET
Week 11: Cowboys at Chiefs, Sunday, November 21, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 12: Raiders at Cowboys, Thursday, November 25, 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Week 13: Cowboys at Saints, Thursday, December 2, 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network
Week 14: Cowboys at Washington, Sunday, December 12, 1 p.m. ET
Week 15: Cowboys at Giants, Sunday, December 19, 1 p.m. ET
Week 16: Washington at Cowboys, Sunday, December 26, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Week 17: Cardinals at Cowboys, Sunday, January 2, 1 p.m. ET
Week 18: Cowboys at Eagles, Sunday, January 9, 1 p.m. ET
Dallas Cowboys Season Win Total Analysis
Jones already axed longstanding coach Jason Garrett due to the team’s inability to go to the playoffs or win when they got there. With that, you can’t help but think it’s playoffs or bust for the second season of the McCarthy regime. Thankfully, the Cowboys got themselves one heck of an offense that should be able to bide some time for the retooled defense to get used to playing with one another. Prescott was on the verge of roasting the Dallas record books through the first five weeks of last season after racking up 1,856 passing yards and 9 TD passes. He’ll once again have a loaded wide receiver corps at his disposal with Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb all returning. Don’t sleep on the tight ends either with Blake Jarwin and Dalton Schultz each fully capable pass catchers.
But will No. 4 have time to throw and will Ezekiel Elliott find running lanes to take advantage of? That will all depend on the health of tackles Tyron Smith and La’el Collins who return after missing a bulk of last season. If fully healthy and good to go, Dallas should pick right back up where it left off. If not, we all saw what the Cowboys offense turned into last season without a dependable front wall stirring the drink. Remember, Dallas needed to score tons of points early on due to a stop unit that eventually ranked No. 28 in scoring defense. Dan Quinn was brought in to call the shots for the new-look defense. I’m more than puzzled by that move considering his Falcons stop units were unable to stop a cold in the middle of the summer.
With the AFC West, NFC South, New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings and Arizona Cardinals on the schedule along with bouts against the division, the retooled defense will have a number of tough opponents to tame. On top of that, an early bye will force the team to play 11 straight games to close out the regular season. The Cowboys cost me money last season as I had them pegged for a 10+ win campaign. They came nowhere close to surpassing their win total. Damn you injury bug! And COVID! While they’ll likely earn more than six wins, I think a number of things will have to go right for them to hit double-digits. McCarthy is a horrible coach! I’m also not sold on the O-Line’s veterans surviving the season or the defense as a whole. I believe the Washington Football Team is the class of the division, and it wouldn’t shock me in the least if the Giants made some noise as well. Would you really be surprised if the Cowboys owned a 2-4 record heading into the bye? Should that occur, McCarthy could get axed! I’m just not sold on the reinforcements brought in this offseason or the coaching staff. While I’m a big fan of Dak and the way he carries himself, I’m bearish on the Cowboys overall and foresee another stressful season ahead for their fans and wagering supporters.
Dallas Cowboys Season Win Total Prediction: Under 9.5
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