When attacking the Denver Broncos season win total odds at online sportsbooks for the 2021-22 season, you have to break it down from two differing viewpoints; with and without Aaron Rodgers. Denver will likely shatter its 8.5-game impost if the current Green Bay Packers QB1 somehow finds a way to get out of the “Land of Cheese.” If not, it’s going to be real close with the Broncos owners of the sixth easiest preseason schedule strength per the folks at Sharp Football Stats. The roster looks to be stacked on both sides of the ball, and it only improved itself via the draft and free agency throughout the offseason. The only thing holding the franchise back is the quarterback position. Regardless of how well Drew Lock looked avoiding pressure on the roller rink in the recent video that went viral across the internet, he still played to a 75.4 QB rating and threw 16 TD passes to 15 interceptions in leading Denver to a 5-11 SU record that brought up the rear of the AFC West standings. Regardless of whether it’s Lock or Teddy Bridgewater leading the offense, the Broncos don’t have a field general on par with the other three teams in the division. That is unless Rodgers is donning Broncos orange and blue come Week 1. Until further notice, I have Denver slated for another sub .500 campaign that prevents it from cashing an over ticket for the fourth time in the last five seasons.
Denver Broncos Season Win Total: 8.5 Over -133
Due to mass injuries on both sides of the ball as well as COVID-19, the Broncos grossly failed to live up to expectations in 2020-21. Linemakers opened Denver’s win total up at 8 back in February of last season. When the pigskin was put into the air in Week 1, the number to beat fell to 7.5 with attractive plus-money juice attached to the over. When it was said and done, Denver came nowhere close to living up to expectations after churning out a gross 5-11 record. It was however competitive in a number of those games evidenced by covering nine of them against the closing NFL odds. Due to the poor campaign, linemakers opened this year’s win total at 7.5 with nominal juice attached to both sides. Once news spread hours before the NFL Draft began that Rodgers was headed to the Mile High City, the O/U bolted up to nine. With nothing taking place since, Denver’s win total has dropped to 8.5 with plus-money vig attached to the under. It looks like linemakers are hedging their bets just in case a trade between Green Bay and Denver actually comes to fruition in the coming months.
NFL Regular Season Wins Odds at BookMaker
Denver Broncos Football Schedule
Week 1: Broncos at Giants, Sunday, September 12, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 2: Broncos at Jaguars, Sunday, September 19, 1 p.m. ET
Week 3: Jets at Broncos, Sunday, September 26, 4:05 p.m. ET
Week 4: Ravens at Broncos, Sunday, October 3, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 5: Broncos at Steelers, Sunday, October 10, 1 p.m. ET
Week 6: Raiders at Broncos, Sunday, October 17, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 7: Broncos at Browns, Thursday, October 21, 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network
Week 8: Washington at Broncos, Sunday, October 31, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 9: Broncos at Cowboys, Sunday, November 7, 1 p.m. ET
Week 10: Eagles at Broncos, Sunday, November 14, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 11: Bye Week
Week 12: Chargers at Broncos, Sunday, November 28, 4:05 p.m. ET
Week 13: Broncos at Chiefs, Sunday, December 5, 1 p.m. ET
Week 14: Lions at Broncos, Sunday, December 12, 4:05 p.m. ET
Week 15: Bengals at Broncos, Sunday, December 19, 4:05 p.m. ET
Week 16: Broncos at Raiders, Sunday, December 26, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 17: Broncos at Chargers, Sunday, January 2, 4:05 p.m. ET
Week 18: Chiefs at Broncos, Sunday, January 9, 4:25 p.m. ET
Denver Broncos Season Win Total Analysis
What makes betting against Denver exceeding its win total is the fact that it owns one of the easiest schedules in the NFL. While the AFC West is certain to be a bear, most of its games against divisional opposition will be played throughout the second half of the season. On top of that, it’s got standalone games coming against the Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Jets and Detroit Lions along with four matchups each against the NFC East and AFC North. There are some really nice pieces to the Broncos puzzle heading into the third season of the Vic Fangio regime. Von Miller and Bradley Chubb will bring the heat up front for the defense, while Pro Bowl safety Justin Simmons will be joined by Alabama standout CB Patrick Surtain II in the secondary. Offensively, the Broncos have a great 1-2 punch in the backfield with Melvin Gordon to work alongside rookie second-round pick Javonte Williams. The wide receiver corps also looks to be loaded with Courtland Sutton back from injury to form a dynamic 1-2 punch with second-year WR Jerry Jeudy. And then there’s Noah Fant at tight end. If only Denver had the straw to stir the drink!
In all honesty, four of the team’s first five games are winnable fixtures. The only one that looks to be a sure-fire defeat is the Week 4 tilt against the Ravens. But that one’s at home, so anything can happen in the thin air! Denver won’t go into the Dawg Pound and come out victorious in Week 7, and if Lock is still throwing picks with reckless abandon come Week 8, the Washington Football Team will make him pay. It’s a coin flip against the Mike McCarthy led Dallas Cowboys in Week 9 and what looks to be a win at home the following week against the rebuilding Philadelphia Eagles. From there, it’s anyone’s guess as to how it plays out with five of the final seven games coming against divisional opponents. I like the talent and roster makeup of this team, but until it inserts at least a serviceable quarterback into the huddle, you can’t bank on this team having enough success to compete for a wild card spot which is what will be needed to exceed the current win total.
Denver Broncos Season Win Total Prediction: Under 8.5
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