The Matt LaFleur era has produced back-to-back 13 win seasons with each ending in the NFC Championship Game. With that, you’d think the Green Bay Packers would be entering the 2021-22 NFL betting season wide-eyed and hungry to finally kick the door in and get back to the Super Bowl. That unfortunately isn’t the case. Aaron Rodgers still hasn’t gotten over upper management’s decision to draft his successor in the 2020 NFL Draft. He hates the front office so much that he demanded a trade hours before the 2021 NFL Draft took place. His questionable timing created a ripple effect that had the decision makers on tilt which ultimately led to one of the worst draft grades of all 32 teams. Due to the uncertainty as to who will be under center for the Packers in Week 1, Green Bay’s season win total odds are currently off the board. So too are the odds of winning the NFC North. The cheeseheads number to beat clocked in at 10.5 before Rodgers opened his mouth, so we’ll go with that and expect No. 12 to be in the huddle when the green and gold kicks the season off in New Orleans.
Green Bay Packers Season Win Total: 10.5 Over -143
Before all the Rodgers drama unfolded, the Pack were owners of a 10.5-game season win total with heavy juice attached to the high side of the impost. With the season now comprised of 17 games and the Packers owners of a middle of the road schedule strength per the number crunchers at Sharp Football Stats, it’s certainly within reason to assume Green Bay is good for another 11+ win campaign playing in the NFC North which it’s gone on to win seven of the last 10 seasons. Green Bay crushed its 9.5-game win total a season ago by winning 13 games. In doing so, the Packers enter 2021 having cashed over tickets for win total bettors each of the last two seasons. With the coaching staff relatively still intact offensively and Joe Barry now looking over the defense in Mike Pettine’s stead, the familiarity is still there for the Packers to remain an NFC force. Ultimately, it’ll all come down to Rodgers allowing the franchise to continue holding its edge.
NFL Regular Season Wins Odds at BookMaker
Green Bay Packers Football Schedule
Week 1: Packers at Saints, Sunday, September 12, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 2: Lions at Packers, Monday, September 20, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN
Week 3: Packers at 49ers, Sunday, September 26, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Week 4: Steelers at Packers, Sunday, October 3, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 5: Packers at Bengals, Sunday, October 10, 1 p.m. ET
Week 6: Packers at Bears, Sunday, October 17, 1 p.m. ET
Week 7: Washington at Packers, Sunday, October 24, 1 p.m. ET
Week 8: Packers at Cardinals, Thursday, October 28, 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network
Week 9: Packers at Chiefs, Sunday, November 7, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 10: Seahawks at Packers, Sunday, November 14, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 11: Packers at Vikings, Sunday, November 21, 1 p.m. ET
Week 12: Rams at Packers, Sunday, November 28, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 13: Bye Week
Week 14: Bears at Packers, Sunday, December 12, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Week 15: Packers at Ravens, Sunday, December 19, 1 p.m. ET
Week 16: Browns at Packers, Saturday, December 25, 4:30 p.m. ET, NFL Network
Week 17: Vikings at Packers, Sunday, January 2, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Week 18: Packers at Lions, Sunday, January 9, 1 p.m. ET
Green Bay Packers Season Win Total Analysis
The Packers’ draft got mixed reviews from all the talking heads. Some applauded upper management’s moves in the early rounds selecting CB Eric Stokes, WR Amari Rodgers and a couple of offensive linemen while others detested it. Bottom line, this was a team that likely would’ve defeated Tampa Bay in the NFC title game if not for boneheaded coaching decisions that allowed for the Buccaneers to ultimately salt the game away. Offensively, Green Bay was No. 1 in the league at scoring points (31.8) and No. 5 in total yardage gained (389.0). It also committed the fewest giveaways (11). All the key pieces are back with Aaron Jones in the backfield, Davante Adams the pass catching alpha and Robert Tonyan the other big bodied target Rodgers routinely relied upon. Added to the mix are the more seasoned A.J. Dillon and Allen Lazard. With Rodgers in tow, Green Bay should once again possess one of the more lethal offensive attacks with PFF’s No. 15 ranked offensive line paving the way.
It’s a different story defensively however. The unit ranked out competitively at both defending the run (No. 13) and pass (No. 7) while accruing 41 total sacks (No. 10), but it only forced a total of 18 turnovers with 11 coming by way of the interception. Green Bay’s inability to prevent the opposition from putting points on the board when they mattered most ultimately saw its season come to an end the game before the Super Bowl for the second straight season. TV executives certainly thought enough of this team to afford them five prime time slots over the course of the regular season. While the schedule ranks out in the middle of the pack, there are a number of land mines along the way. The Pack will run up against two of the more competitive divisions in the league with the NFC West and AFC North possessing a number of teams that could ultimately make some noise come January. It also has standalone games against the New Orleans Saints, Washington Football Team and Kansas City Chiefs.
The Minnesota Vikings look to be the Packers biggest obstacle in divisional play, but I’m not sure they’ll have enough in the tank to end their division dominance. Regardless, Green Bay is a surefire playoff entrant with Rodgers running the show. Without the future Hall of Famer, not so much. Still, there’s plenty reason to believe Green Bay will once again be one of the premiere teams in the NFC if not the NFL. So long as No. 12 situates himself back under center in Titletown, you’re probably better off taking a Bic to the money you’d use to bet on the under. At least that way it would happen quickly as opposed to being forced to hit the Pepto Bismol over a four month stretch.
Green Bay Packers Season Win Total Prediction: Over 10.5
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