The Indianapolis Colts visit the New Orleans Saints on Monday night in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The Colts are on life support in terms of their playoff chances, while the Saints are still trying for the top overall seed in the NFC. The Colts have lost three straight games and oddsmakers don’t think Indianapolis has much of a chance, as the Colts are listed as a 9-point road underdog. It is expected to be a high scoring game with the total listed at 47. Let’s look at the game and NFL picks.
This NFL regular season game between the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints will be held at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, December 16, 2019. The game will be nationally televised on ESPN.
We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.
Odds Analysis
Bettors have been taking this game over the total, as the number has gone from 44 to 47. The Saints opened as an 8.5-point favorite and New Orleans is now a 9-point favorite.
Offensive Success
The Colts are averaging about 23 points per game while they are giving up 23 points per contest. The Colts have been very effective running the ball, as they are 6th in the NFL in rushing yards per contest. The Saints are 5th in the NFL in points per game at 26.5 per contest. They are just 17th in defense, allowing 22.8 points per game. The Colts have struggled to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks and Drew Brees has thrown 17 TDs and just four interceptions in his last seven games, averaging 302 passing yards in those contests. The Colts have allowed over 30 points in each of their last two games. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 69% of their passes against the Indianapolis defense.
Key Matchup
If the Colts are going to have a chance to win this game they have to find a way to contain New Orleans receiver Michael Thomas. He leads the league in catches with 121 and he has 1,424 yards and 7 touchdowns. He will be going against an Indianapolis secondary that features Pierre Desir. The Colts’ top cornerback is Desir and he will likely be the man expected to cover Thomas.
NFL Trends
The Colts are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Colts are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. The Colts are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Colts are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Monday games. The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Saints are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday games. The Under is 23-9 in the Colts last 32 games in December.
NFL Pick
Do you go with the better team in the Saints at home on Monday night or do you go with the trends that are in favor of the Colts? I definitely don’t trust the Saints laying points at home, so I would lean with the Colts in terms of a side in this game, but I think the better choice is the total. The Colts have shown no ability to stop opposing offenses this season and the New Orleans defense has sprung leaks all over the place. I will go over the total on Monday night.
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