The Kansas City Chiefs opened the season with four straight wins to go with three covers against the NFL Odds with an offense that looked like a nuclear super power. But as the weeks have progressed pro coaches have done what pro coaches do which is probe and exploit for weaknesses. And the Kansas City defense offers plenty of weaknesses. The Chiefs have lost two in a row and have the look of a one-man team with quarterback Patrick Mahomes becoming increasingly worn down with having to carry the burden. Meanwhile the Denver Broncos have recovered from an 0-4 start to win two in a row with a defense that has become stout.
This NFL regular season games between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos will be held at Empower Field in Denver, Colorado on Thursday, October 17, 2019 at 8:20 p.m. ET. This AFC West rivalry matchup will be nationally televised on FOX and can also be seen on the NFL Network.
We’ll have NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.
Odds Analysis
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5
Denver Broncos +3.5
Over/Under 50
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 vs. Denver Broncos NFL Odds
The great irony of this line is that the Chiefs price is not as bad as it could have been due to their last two games. That that coupled with Denver’s recent success has made for a relatively honest spread.
Injury Update
Kansas City’s injury list is becoming a multiple page problem with defensive tackle Chris Jones, linebacker Anthony Hitchens, wide receiver Sammy Watkins, and guard Andrew Wylie all questionable.
For Denver wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders is probable while cornerback Bryce Callahan is out.
Key Matchup
This ancient rivalry dates all the way back to 1960 and the founding of the American Football League. The Broncos and Chiefs have been West Division rivals ever since. This year they are a matchup of opposites. Can Denver’s 24th ranked offense move the ball on Kansas City’s 28th in the NFL ranked defense? And can Denver’s fourth ranked defense handle the Chiefs third ranked offense. If KC could manage to field just an average defense, they would be tough to beat. The problem is that have not.
Key Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes ( 64% COMP, 2104 YDS, 9.1 AVG, 14 TD, 1 INT, 8 SACK, 111.9 RTG ), RB LeSean McCoy ( 48 ATT, 258 YDS, 5.4 AVG, 2 TD ), TE Travis Kelce ( 32 REC, 497 YDS, 15.5 AVG, 1 TD ), PK Harrison Butker ( 11-13 FG, 19-20 XP )
Key Broncos: QB Joe Flacco ( 66% COMP, 1435 YDS, 7.3 AVG, 6 TD, 5 INT, 15 SACK, 87.4 RTG ), BR Phillip Lindsay ( 84 ATT, 397 YDS, 4.7 AVG, 4 TD, )WR Courtland Sutton ( 30 REC, 477 YDS, 15.9 AVG, 3 TD ), PK Brandon McManus ( 12-14 FG, 8-9 FG )
Kansas City and Denver Against the Spread
The Chiefs are:
4-6 against the spread as road chalks
8-3 over the total when laying points on the road
6-1 on the board in their last seven meetings with the Broncos
5-2-1 over the total head to head with Denver
15-3 vs. the odds in their last 18 games at AFC West teams
6-3 over the total on the road vs. AFC West teams
The Broncos are:
4-10-1 against the spread in their last 15 home games
1-8 under the total at Empower Field
3-8-1 on the board when hosting AFC West teams at Empower Field
2-5 under the total at home against the AFC West
3-8 vs. the line when hosting Kansas City
2-4-2 under the total at home against the Chiefs
NFL Pick
As was previously noted Denver has not been a good value at home nor against the Chiefs. Look for Kansas City head coach Andy Reid to rally his team here. KC has been money in division road games and that’s not an accident. Most important of all the Broncos lack the offensive firepower to exploit the Chiefs leaky defense.
NFL Pick: Kansas City Chiefs 34, Denver Broncos 20
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