This Sunday’s Super Bowl game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers will have a factor that no other NFL game had this year. Specifically, the halftime will be much longer than normal. With that in mind, handicapping the halftime Super Bowl Odds could be trickier than for any other game of the pro football season. That being said, the worst mistake to make is overanalyzing the halftime odds and how to attack them. Let’s take a look at some basics to consider when the halftime line comes out for Super Bowl LIV.
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Super Bowl LIV
Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers
Date and Time: Sunday, February 2, 2020, 6:30 p.m. ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
NFL Betting Online Odds at Bookmaker.eu: Chiefs -1.5, 49ers +1.5, over under 54
Chiefs vs. 49ers TV Coverage: FOX
Small Opening Line Could Leave Big Halftime Opportunity
Depending on the halftime score there could be a massive value opportunity based on the opening line versus the halftime line. For example, if Kansas City is behind by a large margin, they will likely be a bigger halftime favorite than they were at kickoff. When you consider the comeback record of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes during the 2019 playoffs there is certainly a scenario where the Chiefs can win the second half with a furious comeback attempt even if they don’t cover the opening line for the entire game itself. When the Chiefs rallied from 24-0 down to beat the Houston Texans 51-31 and cover the original 10-point spread it was a testament to their nuclear weaponry.
By the same token those taking the 49ers to cover the entire game could switch to a trailing Chiefs team at the half if the line is advantageous enough and have it both ways!
San Francisco 49ers Halftime Scenarios
When it comes to the reputation of being an old school ball control team nobody has a better reputation than San Francisco. In the 2019 playoffs the 49ers rank second rushing yardage and second for points allowed. You can be sure that head coach Kyle Shanahan will want to milk the clock with ball control if the Niners hold the lead in the second half. In their two NFC playoff games San Francisco threw only 27 times compared to 89 rushing attempts. If the 49ers are forced to throw the Chiefs defense ranks 9th out of 12 teams in the playoffs for passing yards allowed. San Francisco is not nearly as freewheeling as the Chiefs. However, what often gets overlooked is that the Niners scored the second most points in the entire NFL regular season.
Kansas City Chiefs Halftime Scenarios
Without question the Chiefs have shown amazing firepower and comeback ability in the post season. The rally against Houston was unlike anything that long time football observers and insiders have ever seen. But also keep in mind that the Chiefs trailed the Tennessee Titans by 10 points in the AFC Championship Game before coming back to cover as 7.5-point chalks in a 35-24 win. Kansas City’s offensive style should be similar whether they are ahead or are trailing. Head coach Andy Reid and Mahomes are not going to sit on the ball but will keep attacking. And should KC be trailing at the half, look out everyone, because no lead is safe against the Chiefs. While the 49ers defense is celebrated as a strength Kansas City actually allowed fewer points in the regular season.
The Ultimate Halftime Betting Factor to Consider
The Chiefs have the ultimate football weapon in Mahomes. He is one of the few players that can take over and dominate a game. To ignore that at halftime, regardless of score, would be foolhardy. The other question to ask is if San Francisco can actually hold down the Chiefs offense for the entire four quarters, especially if they did so in the first half.
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