First place in the AFC South is on the line on Sunday, as the Houston Texans visit the Tennessee Titans on CBS. The Titans come into this game on a four-game winning streak and quarterback Ryan Tannehill is playing at a high level. On the other side, the Texans have been a bit inconsistent of late and they are listed as road underdogs in this game on Sunday. Let’s look at the game and NFL picks.
This NFL regular season game between the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans will be held at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 15, 2019. The game will be nationally televised on CBS.
We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.
Odds Analysis
Bettors have been backing the Titans in this one as the line opened with Tennessee a 2.5-point favorite and the number is now up to 3. The total has seen a lot of action, as it opened at 47.5 and it is now up to 51.
Team Stats
The Texans are 6-7 ATS with six of their games going over and seven going under. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 3,425 pass yards with 24 TDs and 9 interceptions. Carlos Hyde leads the team in rushing with 958 total yards with 4 TDs, while DeAndre Hopkings leads the team with 1,023 receiving yards and 7 TDs.
The Titans are 8-5 ATS with eight games going over the total and five going under. Tannehill has thrown for 1,993 pass yards with 15 TDs and 5 interceptions. Derrick Henry has 1,449 total yards with 15 TDs while A.J. Brown has 779 receiving yards with 6 TDs.
Key Factor
There is a key factor that applies to this game that will get ignored by most people and that is how each team performs on play action. The Texans are one of the worst teams in the NFL defending play action passes, while the Titans lead the league in yards completed on play action passes. Expect Tannehill to hit some big plays on Sunday that end up being the difference. The Titans have averaged 31.4 points per game since switching from Mariota to Tannehil.
Series Notes
The teams have split their season series in each of the last three seasons. Houston is 10-4 SU and 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings against Tennessee.
NFL Trends
The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Texans are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Texans are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games in December. The Titans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Titans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in December. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series.
Looking at the total, the Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Tennessee. The Under is 6-1 in the Texans last 7 vs. the AFC South. The Over is 4-0 in the Titans last 4 home games. The Over is 5-2 in the Titans last 7 vs. the AFC South.
NFL Pick
This could be the turning point game in the AFC South for years to come. The Texans have been thought of as the best team in the division, but head coach Bill O’Brien has never proven he can win big games while Tennessee looks to finally have a quarterback in Tannehill and we know that Mike Vrabel knows how to win. I think Tennessee is the better team and that they will prove it this week. I will lay the points and take the Titans in this contest.
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