For those who play parlays you know how difficult it is to hit multiple winners on a single card. The higher payout is inviting, which is why we do it, but the odds of failure are much higher. After hitting four winners in Week 7, the first time that happened, I returned to normalcy last week splitting my picks. Is it me or are we seeing more crazy stuff happening around the NFL this season? I’ve been fairly consistent hitting a number of my picks, and like I’ve said this article is for informational purposes only. I’ll continue the method of picking favorites and underdogs to hopefully help readers cash a winning parlay card.
I backed Tennessee as a 2.5-point road favorite in Houston with the spread coming down with Ryan Tannehill missing the game. It didn’t matter, though the offense wasn’t that sharp. Without their starting QB the Titans turned to Derrick Henry, who ran all over the Texans for 219 yards. Turned out Malik Willis wasn’t needed in his first start throwing just 10 passes. It makes us wonder what happens this week in Kansas City if Tannehill misses another game. And it turned out Cincinnati’s success was short-lived. The Bengals were routed by Cleveland as a 2.5-point favorite sending me to a loss.
Hitting underdogs on the moneyline is where money can be made. The only problem is backing the right team. Upsets happen as we’ve seen throughout the year and backing the team formerly known as the Redskins was a winner. The Commanders took down Indy on the road. It might be time to rethink the Green Bay Packers. Backing them at +410 on the moneyline proved to be a loser in their 27-17 setback in Buffalo. Undeterred by last week’s events I’ll trudge ahead to Week 9 looking for teams to include on a winning parlay card.
NFL Week 9 Betting Lines
Parlay Card Favorites
Picking favorites on a parlay card should be the easy part. However it doesn’t always turn out that way. Teams laying points went 9-6 SU and 8-7 ATS in Week 8 showing just how tough it is. Of the six teams to lose outright none were favored by more than 2.5 points. Backing the bigger faves looks like a winning strategy however the steeper price reduces the payout. These are all things to consider. Let’s have a look at Week 9 favorites with a potential payout.
It’s been a solid year for the Jets, who saw their four-game winning streak end last week to the Patriots. Another AFC East tilt against the Bills in Week 9 gives us a better idea of where they stand. New York isn’t in the same class as Buffalo and the play of Zach Wilson has been scary at times. He tossed three picks last week’s loss. I don’t expect a breakthrough against one of the best defenses and Josh Allen will continue his MVP surge with the Bills covering the 12-point line.
At 6-1 the Vikings are running away with the NFC North. They aren’t the defensive standout they were under Mike Zimmer instead opening up the offense with Kirk Cousins. Meanwhile the Commanders are about as average as you can get. They have won there in a row catching teams in awkward circumstances. Not this week with Minnesota winning at -185 on the moneyline.
Parlay Card Underdog Winners
There were upsets last week but nothing like what we saw in Week 7. The six outright winners were all +2.5 or shorter on the line. And some of the games could have gone either way given the circumstances. Jimmy Garoppolo has never lost a regular season start against the Rams and the Niners cruised once again 31-14 catching 1-point. There are factors other than stats and numbers that go into handicapping games to emerge with the best dog picks.
I backed the Titans as a favorite last week and will go back to them as an underdog. While the moneyline is inviting I don’t think they have what it takes to beat Kansas City outright. Instead I’ll back them at +12.5. Tennessee has won five straight with Derrick Henry being his beastly self. He romped for 219 yards last week with Ryan Tannehill on the shelf. The Chiefs are 0-3 ATS at home with their three games decided by a total of eight points.
The Panthers look much better since the coaching change and should’ve won last week’s game in Atlanta if not for a stupid penalty for a dumb rule costing them the game-winning PAT. All that aside they get a reeling Bengals squad that got squashed in Cleveland last week and will be without Ja’Marr Chase and Chidobe Awuzie. They appear ripe for picking and the Panthers at +281 are the ones to do it.
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