The New England Patriots visit the New York Jets on Monday Night in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The Patriots are listed as road favorites in this contest with what is a relatively low total. The amazing run of the Patriots in the AFC East appears to be over, as the team is 2-5 and three games behind the Buffalo Bills. As bad as it is for the Patriots, they are still in far better shape than New York, as the Jets come into this game as the only winless team in the NFL at 0-8. Let’s look at the Monday night matchup and NFL picks. Watch this regular season NFL Week 9 matchup on Monday, November 9, at 8:15 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium. Catch the game live on ESPN and bet on NFL odds at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
NFL Odds at Bookmaker.eu
New England Patriots -7.5
New York Jets +7.5
Total 41.5
Odds Analysis
The line on this game has the Patriots as a 7.5-point favorite. There was a little line movement toward the Jets and the line briefly dropped to 7, but it has gone back up to 7.5. The total on this game is 41.5 and it has been moving up a little bit. At the time of this writing the total was moving up and it would not be a surprise to see this total go up to 42 or 42.5.
Injury Report
The Patriots began this season behind the eight ball as a number of players opted out due to COVID-19. The Patriots also are dealing with injuries to Stephon Gilmore who is listed as questionable and N’Keal Harry who is also questionable.
The Jets expect that Sam Darnold will be able to play, but they have some questions as to whether or not Jamison Crowder will play. The Jets are also listing Breshad Perriman as questionable. It is also worth noting that kicker Sam Ficken was listed as questionable for this game.
Key Matchups
Do you trust Cam Newton to win this game? You might think that the Patriots would run the ball and try and avoid having to throw, but the Jets are decent against the run, ranking 13th in the league. The New York defense has been on the field a lot and opposing teams are oftentimes running the ball in the second half, so New York’s run defense is actually pretty good. The Jets are last in the NFL in passing yards allowed, but the Patriots are rotten in passing, as they rank 29th in passing offense. This game could come down to whether or not Newton makes plays with his arm.
On the other side, the Jets should be able to run the ball, as the Patriots have a rotten run defense. The New England defense ranks 27th in the league against the run. New York has Frank Gore and he should find some holes in this game on Monday night.
Game Trends
The Patriots are 31-29 all-time on the road against the Jets, including 7-3 at MetLife Stadium. The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Patriots are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. The Jets are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. The Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
The Over is 4-1 in the Patriots last 5 road games. The Under is 4-0 in the Jets last 4 games overall. The Under is 4-1 in the Jets last 5 games as a home underdog. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in this series in New York.
Free ATS Pick
There is no question this is an ugly matchup. Normally I would have to take New England, but I have no confidence in Newton and the Patriots can’t stop the run. I think the Jets can stay in this game so I will take the points with New York and also play the game under the total.
NFL Pick: Patriots 20, Jets 17
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