The Los Angeles Rams visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday night in a game that can be seen on ESPN. It is a matchup between two of the top teams in the NFC, as the Rams come into the game at 6-3, while the Bucs are 7-3. It is also a matchup between two of the top defenses in the league, as the Rams are second in fewest yards allowed per game, while the Bucs are third. Let’s look at the Monday night matchup and NFL picks.
Watch this regular season NFL Week 11 matchup on Monday, November 23, at 8:15 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium. Catch the game live on ESPN and bet on NFL odds at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
NFL Odds at Bookmaker.eu
Los Angeles Rams+4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-4
Total 48.5
Odds Analysis
The line on this game has moved toward the Bucs, as Tampa opened as a 3.5-point favorite and the line is up to 4. The Bucs with Tom Brady have become a public team so it is not surprising to see the line move toward Tampa. The total looks like it is coming down a bit, as the number opened 49 and it is down to 48.5 and there are indications it is going to drop further.
Injury Report
The only two injuries to note are the ones to tackle Andrew Whitworth for the Rams, as he is out indefinitely with a knee injury and the Bucs are listing linebacker Jack Cichy as questionable with a hamstring injury.
Key Matchups
This matchup comes down to whether or not the Bucs can protect Tom Brady and whether they can run the ball. The Seahawks couldn’t protect Russell Wilson last week and the Rams harassed him all day and Seattle did nothing on the ground and the Rams got a big win. The Bucs will need to find a way to keep Aaron Donald out of the backfield and they also need to run the ball effectively to take pressure off of Brady. We know that the Rams can rush the passer and they have a very good secondary led by Jalen Ramsey. If running back Ronald Jones has a big night then the Bucs should have a good chance to win this game.
It is interesting to note that Tampa Bay head coach Bruce Arians said that a fast start is essential for his team. If you like the Bucs you may want to bet them in the first quarter or first half. "We've got to try something because we've had really, really poor starts in night ballgames," said Arians to the media.
Game Trends
The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay. The Underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Rams are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 Monday games. The Buccaneers are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite. The Under is 6-0 in the Rams last 6 games overall. The Over is 6-1 in the Buccaneers last 7 games as a home favorite. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Free ATS Pick
I am a little surprised that the total on this game is nearly 50. The public likes to bet games over the total, but the Rams and Bucs have two of the top defensives in the league. The Los Angeles offense isn’t anything special and while Tampa’s offense can be explosive, the Rams defense is really good. I will go under the total on Monday night.
NFL Pick: Bucs 23, Rams 20
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