I released mid-season favorite, underdog, and longshot selections to cash in on the Super Bowl LVII odds last week. They included the San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, and Washington Commanders. We beat the market with the first two selections, but swung and missed with the Commanders who let last week’s game against the Vikings get away from them late.
Heading into Week 10, I wanted to go back in time and take a look at how the projected top three teams have fared against the Super Bowl odds since online sportsbooks deemed them to be the favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy come the conclusion of the 2022-23 NFL betting season. The following is what I unearthed; enjoy!
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Super Bowl LVII Odds
| TEAM | WEEK 1 | CURRENT |
| BILLS | +582 | +295 |
| BUCCANEERS | +818 | +2100 |
| PACKERS | +919 | +14500 |
| CHIEFS | +940 | +520 |
| CHARGERS | +1075 | +3150 |
| RAMS | +1157 | +6300 |
| 49ERS | +1450 | +1025 |
| RAVENS | +1900 | +1400 |
| EAGLES | +1965 | +444 |
| BRONCOS | +2000 | +14000 |
| BENGALS | +2100 | +3000 |
| COLTS | +2462 | +40000 |
| COWBOYS | +2500 | +1450 |
| SAINTS | +3000 | +15500 |
| RAIDERS | +3300 | +16500 |
| VIKINGS | +3450 | +1325 |
| DOLPHINS | +3600 | +2450 |
| CARDINALS | +4000 | +19000 |
| TITANS | +4350 | +5300 |
| BROWNS | +4500 | +11000 |
| PATRIOTS | +4500 | +6300 |
| STEELERS | +6300 | +100000 |
| LIONS | +11500 | +60000 |
| PANTHERS | +12500 | +100000 |
| COMMANDERS | +14500 | +28000 |
| JAGUARS | +15500 | +15000 |
| JETS | +17500 | +6300 |
| GIANTS | +18500 | +8000 |
| BEARS | +21500 | +70000 |
| SEAHAWKS | +21500 | +3750 |
| TEXANS | +27500 | +150000 |
| FALCONS | +30000 | +15500 |
Buffalo Bills
Sean McDermott’s squad initially hit the board 6-1 to win the Super Bowl. Entering Week 1’s trek to Los Angeles to battle the defending Super Bowl champion Rams on Thursday Night Football, Buffalo’s odds of winning it all clocked in at +582. Fast forward nine weeks, and the Bills are still the odds-on +295 favorites to win it all.
However, the team enters Week 10 off a loss to the Jets and more importantly the presence of Josh Allen under center is now in question after he suffered an injury to the elbow of his throwing arm. The loss in New York marked the second in divisional play on the road after dropping a 21-19 decision in Miami back in Week 3.
If Allen is forced to miss a substantial amount of time much to the dismay of #BillsMafia, it could open a window to get a greater rate of return on the franchise winning its first-ever Super Bowl title. This still looks to be the most complete team in the league, so that would present a buying opportunity that mustn’t be overlooked should it come to pass.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I was very bearish on the Bucs being a force in the NFC heading into the regular season, and backed that claim up by pounding the under of their laughable 11.5-game season wins total. The Bucs must win out in order for me not to cash the ticket! The issues I had with this overhyped squad came along the offensive line, and it’s proven to be an issue that’s crippled the offense through the first nine weeks of the season.
Tom Brady is currently calling the shots for the No. 25 ranked scoring offense that ranks dead last rushing the pigskin. Who cares though right? Tampa is all about slinging the rock around the gridiron. True, but even with the “The GOAT” navigating the league’s No. 5 ranked aerial attack, the team has managed 4-5 SU and 2-6-1 ATS records.
The outcome has seen their preseason odds of 8-1 swell all the way out to 21-1. Even so, this team is still the frontrunner of the AFC South and will likely punch a ticket to the second season. Should the offense finally figure it out, Tampa could prove to be a steal in the futures market. Much is riding against that however with something just not right about the aura of the team with Todd Bowles overlooking it.
Green Bay Packers
If you think the Bucs are an unmitigated disaster, they can hold the Green Bay Packers beer! The Cheeseheads entered the regular season lined the third shortest favorites on the board ( +919 ) to win Super Bowl LVII. It only seemed to make perfect sense a year removed from winning 13 regular season games and getting bounced from the playoffs in the Division Round, right? Should you be of the belief this team rights the ship, you can buy shares of them at 145-1! Never in my wet and wildest did I ever think this was possible with No. 12 manning the controls.
With Davante Adams no longer there to be the glue that holds the offense together, Aaron Rodgers has struggled mightily to do much of anything with the weapons upper management handpicked for him in the offseason. It’s gotten so bad that the Green and Gold are now owners of the sixth worst scoring offense in the game with it denting scoreboards for a pitiful 17.1 points per game. Sunday’s 15-9 loss in Detroit saw the Packers drop a fifth straight, and they’d be 0-5 ATS in those contests if not for kicking the backdoor in against the Bills.
It’s a shame too with the defense holding up its end of the bargain. Jaire Alexander is one of the best cornerbacks in the game, while Rashan Gary has continued to do work up front in logging six sacks. Green Bay’s No. 6 ranked defense is going to waste right before our eyes!
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