With the 2019 NFL Draft and free agency mostly behind us, the odds to win Super Bowl LIV are set to be largely static for the foreseeable future. It’s no surprise to anyone that the New England Patriots remain the favorites to win the Super Bowl as the ageless Tom Brady has led them to six Super Bowls over the last two decades, while Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs are the next favorites after setting the league on fire last year.
Super Bowl LIV Odds
New England Patriots +645
Kansas City Chiefs +770
New Orleans Saints +911
Indianapolis Colts +1000
Los Angeles Rams +1265
Cleveland Browns +1500
Los Angeles Chargers +1550
Philadelphia Eagles +1629
Green Bay Packers +1806
Chicago Bears +1907
Pittsburgh Steelers +2300
Minnesota Vikings +2406
Dallas Cowboys +2651
Seattle Seahawks +2701
Atlanta Falcons +3454
San Francisco 49ers +3704
Houston Texans +3890
Baltimore Ravens +5000
Jacksonville Jaguars +5000
Carolina Panthers +6000
Buffalo Bills +8500
Tennessee Titans +9000
New York Jets +9500
Oakland Raiders +9628
Denver Broncos +10000
Washington Redskins +10500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +12000
Detroit Lions +12000
Arizona Cardinals +14000
New York Giants +14500
Cincinnati Bengals +19500
Miami Dolphins +30000
Brady continues to make the Patriots the team to beat every year. This is the longest run of dominance we have ever seen in the 100-year history of the NFL, as the combination of Brady and Bill Belichick makes this team one of the best in the league every season.
Number 12 will eventually decline, but people have been saying that for years, and he is still playing at an elite level. The Patriots lost two linemen (DE Trey Flowers and RT Trenton Brown) after massive offers from other teams in free agency, but this team kept its core and restocked through the draft.
The Patriots were able to keep Jason McCourty and Stephen Gostkowski, and they had a draft that everyone agrees was one of the best in the league. New England gave Brady a real weapon at wide receiver by selecting N’Keal Harry at the end of the first round. They brought in a high motor player in Chase Winovich, but my favorite selection was their pick of Byron Cowart in the fifth round. We have seen former five-star recruits that didn’t find the right fit in college blow expectations out of the water in the NFL, and Cowart will get the chance to do that as a rookie.
Kansas City is the second favorite on the list, but there are too many question marks surrounding this team for me to like them. Kareem Hunt is gone, and Tyreek Hill might not be on the team at the start of the season either, leaving tight end Travis Kelce as Mahomes’ only playmaker.
The wide receivers outside of Hill don’t strike fear into any defense, and I’m not sold on Sammy Watkins as a true No. 1 receiver. This defense was an absolute mess last season, and even though they brought in a number of players (Frank Clark, Tyrann Mathieu, and Alex Okafor) to shore up that side of the ball, I don’t see them being that much better. Playing in a relatively weak division with Denver and Oakland will benefit the Chiefs, otherwise I would bet this team to miss the playoffs.
New Orleans is next on the list, but my favorite pick to win the Super Bowl at these odds are the Los Angeles Rams. Many are down on the Rams after a dismal performance against New England in Super Bowl LIII, yet this team is still the most talented team in the NFC.
Although the Rams lost Rodger Saffold, LaMarcus Joyner, and Mark Barron, they signed veterans like Eric Weddle and Clay Matthews that are hungry to win titles and still have playmakers all over the field on both sides of the ball. This team was built to win now, and I think they can do just that.
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