I guess it’s only fitting that the two best teams during the regular season meet in Super Bowl LVII to determine the NFL champion. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles each went 14-3 during the season claiming the No. 1 seed in their respective conference, though the Eagles had little difficulty earning payout victories over the Giants and 49ers by a combined 55 points. Things were a little more difficult for the Chiefs, who needed a last second field goal to beat Cincinnati 23-20 in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship game. Kansas City advanced with a 7-point win over Jacksonville in the divisional round failing to cover the 10-point spread. They also had to deal with the uncertainty of Patrick Mahomes’ ankle injury. Meanwhile the Eagles won their two postseason games by a combined score of 69-14. The game hit the board as a tossup before Philly settled as an early 2-point favorite.
Super Bowl LVII will take place on Sunday, February 12, 2023 at 6:30 p.m. ET at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ and will be televised on FOX.
NFL Super Bowl LVII Betting Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +2
Philadelphia Eagles -2
Total 50
Money Line: Chiefs +107, Eagles -127
The teams had identical records and the Chiefs have experience with this being their third Super Bowl appearance in four seasons. But it’s the Eagles who emerged as the favorite in early betting action and it’s not hard to see why. Philly was the best team in the NFL all season starting with its eight-game winning streak. They were the last squad to lose and they won 13 of their first 14 games going 8-6 ATS in those outings. With Jalen Hurts out with an injury, the Eagles lost consecutive games near the end of the season only to regroup when Hurts returned for the finale.
With a pair of dominant wins the Eagles are back in the Super Bowl for the first time since upsetting New England, 41-33, as a 4.5-point dog to conclude the 2017 season. The first round bye allowed Hurts to recover from his late season shoulder injury and while he hasn’t been as dominant since before getting hurt, the Eagles are stacked on both sides of the ball allowing Hurts some wiggle room.
Philadelphia annihilated New York in the divisional round 38-7 behind a ground game that produced 268 yards and averaged 6.1 yards per tote. Hurts attempted only 24 passes in the game with two of them for scores. The defense did the rest sacking Daniel Jones five times and conceding 227 total yards. It was the type of football we saw many times during the season. Philly ranked among the top-3 averaging 389.1 yards of offense while surrendering 301.5 yards on defense. And their 70 sacks during the regular year was the third-highest total in NFL history.
One quarterback who can break down a defense is Mahomes since he’s been doing it his entire career. In 93 career starts, including the postseason, Mahomes has a 74-19 record. And his toughness was on display in last week’s win over Cincinnati. There was talk that Mahomes might miss the game after sustaining an ankle injury in the Jags contest. And we saw his worth between games when the Bengals emerged as a slight favorite with Mahomes’ status unclear. The line shifted back in favor of KC when Mahomes was cleared and the Chiefs covered the 2-point closing line in a 23-20 triumph.
The Eagles won’t be facing Mr. Irrelevant or a career backup and practice squad player on Super Sunday. Instead they have to contend with a former league MVP and Super Bowl winner in Mahomes. For the second time in Mahomes’ five full seasons the Chiefs led the NFL in scoring averaging 29.2 points. During his tenure the Chiefs have never finished worse than sixth in points or yards. While noticeably hobbled by the ankle injury Mahomes was still efficient throwing for 326 yards and two TDs in the win over Cincinnati.
There isn’t much history between the teams with only nine all-time meetings, the last a 42-30 KC win in 2021. For what it’s worth the Chiefs are 3-0 SU and ATS in the previous three matchups.
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