We saw an absolute stinker on Thursday Night Football last week as the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts failed to score a touchdown in a game that had four interceptions, so everyone is hoping for a better show this week. The Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears are hoping to oblige, but these are two of the worst offenses in the NFL. Currently, the Bears are a short favorite by the NFL betting odds, yet this line could still move a point or two either way.
The Chicago Bears have a chance to get back to .500 on Thursday Night Football when they host the Washington Commanders. This game will be played at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois on Thursday, October 13, 2022, at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
NFL Week 6 Betting Odds
Washington Commanders +1
Chicago Bears -1
Total 38
Money Line: Commanders -101, Bears -119
Odds Analysis
When the line for this game opened on Sunday night, Washington was a one-point favorite by the NFL betting line. Bettors disagreed with the oddsmakers’ assessment and made Chicago a short favorite by Monday morning, and that’s currently where the line sits. There was also movement on the total with the number falling from 40.5 to 39.5 in just a few hours.
Washington Commanders
The Washington Commanders have the longest losing streak in the NFC. They have lost four straight games since beating the Jacksonville Jaguars in their season opener, and the only game that was close was last week’s home loss to the Tennessee Titans. It looked like the Commanders would win their second game of the year when they had 1st and Goal on Tennessee’s two-yard line with 19 seconds left, but Carson Wentz threw consecutive incompletions before tossing a pick into the end zone to snuff out their hopes of winning the game.
Wentz doesn’t have terrible stats, but he has been one of the least effective quarterbacks in the NFL. He is completing 62.9% of his passes for 1,390 yards (6.6 YPA) with 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. Although Wentz is the second leading rusher on the team with 77 rushing yards (4.5 YPC), he is largely a statue in the pocket and holds on to the ball way too long. That’s why he has been sacked 20 times through five games.
Terry McLaurin is the only real weapon on this offense. He has 19 receptions for 326 yards and a touchdown, but he continues to toil in relative obscurity. Curtis Samuel (8.8 YPR) and J.D. McKissic (6.6 YPR) have more receptions but are largely dump off options, while Antonio Gibson is averaging just 3.2 YPC this season.
Washington doesn’t have a great defense either despite the draft capital used on this side of the ball. The Commanders do rank in the top ten in sack rate after spending four straight first-round picks on defensive linemen, but they don’t force turnovers and have struggled in the secondary.
Chicago Bears
You can’t put too much blame on Justin Fields for Chicago’s offensive woes. The Bears have the worst receiving corps in the league, and they have very little talent on this side of the ball. That has played a big factor in Chicago’s archaic offense that runs the ball over 60% of the time. Fields is completing just 55.7% of his passes for 679 yards (7.7 YPA) with three touchdowns and four interceptions.
Chicago has had some success on the ground despite the loss of David Montgomery. Khalil Herbert is averaging 5.9 YPC, and Fields is averaging 4.6 YPC (with four fumbles).
That has the Bears ranked fifth in rushing yards per game (157.4 YPG), and that gives them some semblance of an offense. Conversely, their passing attack is ranked dead last in almost every category as Fields has been sacked on 17% of his dropbacks and has thrown an interception on 4.6% of his passes.
The Bears have had a lot of trouble stopping the run though. They are allowing 4.9 YPC and 170.0 YPG on the ground. Chicago has the second-worst run defense in the league, but this young secondary has been pretty solid. The Bears are allowing just 197.2 YPG through the air, and Eddie Jackson has three interceptions.
Commanders at Bears Free Pick
The Under is a tempting play considering what we saw on Thursday Night Football last week and what some think might be in store this week. However, Chicago is the better bet as the Bears can churn out yards on the ground and force Wentz into making multiple mistakes.
BookMaker offers play-by-play betting odds for live sporting events every day! The user-friendly wagering interface on your smartphone provides an easy way to place bets on the go. Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute, so click here to start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker Sportsbook!
Check out the latest odds at BookMaker
