The Week 4 Monday Night Football matchup is a prop bettors dream and BookMaker.eu has everything available right at your fingertips on the mobile betting platform. It’s hard for any NFL fan to ignore what Patrick Mahomes has done for the Kansas City Chiefs, turning them into the league’s highest scoring team with a record 13 touchdown passes through the first three games of the season. The Chiefs can score, and they have failed to prevent teams from doing the same, leaving the door open for Case Keenum and the Denver Broncos to do some damage of their own.
Watch this Week 4 regular season matchup live on Monday, October 1, 2018, at 8:15 p.m. ET at Broncos Stadium at Mile High.
NFL Opening Odds at BookMaker.eu
Kansas City Chiefs -5
Denver Broncos +5
Over/Under 56
Andy Reid has been around long enough and has enjoyed so much success that when he makes a move it rarely gets questioned. When the coach dealt Alex Smith this past offseason, handing the reins of the offense to Mahomes, there were a few curious looks. But once again it looks as though Reid got it right. The Chiefs enjoyed plenty of regular season success with Smith and they put up some high-scores, but playoff failures and inconsistent production led to the change.
Along with that Fitzpatrick guy down in Tampa, Mahomes has been the talk of the NFL. He threw four scoring passes in the season opener and has continued to take advantage of the abundance of playmakers at his disposal. Mahomes has found nine different players with a touchdown strike this season, making it difficult for defenses to key on just a couple of players.
And with Denver’s “No Fly Zone” closed, jump on any prop bet you can find on Mahomes throwing a touchdown pass at any time during the contest. The Broncos have the 22nd ranked pass defense and have given up five touchdowns via the pass. And if you’re looking for a Chiefs pass catcher to have a big day, lean towards Travis Kelce. For some reason the Broncos have had a tough time defending tight ends and Kelce is one of the best.
Two of Kelce’s three career games with more than 130 receiving yards have come against the Broncos in the past two seasons and in three games in that span he has 26 catches for 394 yards with a pair of touchdowns. Kelce has amassed over 100 yards receiving in the last two games and leads the Chiefs with 16 receptions for 229 yards.
The Chiefs will look to exploit mismatches with their tight end in the Broncos secondary, which allowed Seattle’s Will Dissly to go for 135 yards and a score in the opener. It would be a smart move to look at Kelce’s total receiving yards and touchdowns and consider throwing down on the over for both.
The Broncos are still very active defensively, even though the numbers are a little off from seasons past and not nearly what they were during their 2015 Super Bowl season. Denver will have to get after Mahomes and apply pressure to get him out of his comfort zone. That job falls in the lap of Von Miller, one of the best ever at sacking the quarterback. Miller is at it again this season with a league-high tying four sacks. He failed to get one last week so expect him to be on the prowl on Monday night. Taking a sack prop on Miller looks like easy money with all four of his takedowns coming on home soil.
These rivals from the old AFL always put on a show and we’ll see plenty of offense with both teams having talent on that side of the football. Case Keenum is due for a breakout game against a Chiefs defense that is dead last in yards allowed and 30th in points surrendered. Keenum will need to throw to keep up with the Chiefs and taking the over on his passing yards total should pay off.
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