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Old School Meets New School
Another week of the 2022-23 NFL betting season is in the books which means it’s time to dig into how the futures odds market reacted to what went down in Week 10. If you’ve been following along with my breakdowns of the Super Bowl LVII odds heading into Week 11, you’ve already invested in the Buffalo Bills +650, Baltimore Ravens +2200, New York Giants +18500, Philadelphia Eagle...
Are you ready for another week of ugly dog picks in the NFL? It was another winning week last week, as we went 3-2 ATS. That improves the season record to 25-18-1 ATS. Some of the best bets in the NFL each week are oftentimes wagers on teams that are considered the worst in the league. If you want to win money betting NFL games then you need to be willing to take teams no one else wants to bet. We refer to these teams as ugly dogs and you really have to hold your nose sometimes when you bet on them, but history has shown that going against the public works. We have four games to look at for this week. Let’s look at the NFL Week 11 Ugly Dog picks. ...
After an 0-2 start, many pundits began to doubt the Tennessee Titans. Mike Vrabel and the Titans proved the naysayers wrong though and look set to win another AFC South title after winning six of their last seven games. Their lone loss in that stretch was an overtime loss on the road against Kansas City two weeks ago, so the Green Bay Packers will have their hands full on Thursday Night Football. The Green Bay Packers kept their playoff hopes alive with a big win over the Dallas Cowboys last week. Now, they will face another top team in the Tennessee Titans on Thursday Night Football to start Week 11. These teams will meet at historic Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin on Thursday, November 17, 2022, at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video. ...
The NFC’s Road to the Super Bowl appears likely to go through Philadelphia. The Eagles are 8-0 with wins over Minnesota and Dallas, giving this team a two-game lead on every other team in the conference. They are heavy favorites against the Washington Commanders on Monday Night Football, as no one expects them to lose at home given they are unbeaten and have had more rest than the Commanders prior to this game.The unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles will look to maintain their two-game lead in the NFC ...
After a stubbed toe in my Week 8 NFL top total plays I got back in the black hitting two of three last week. Over the last four weeks of NFL action I hit on exactly two-thirds of my total plays overcoming a slow start. From Weeks 6-8 the OVER was the dominant outcome with 56 percent of the games ending above the closing the total. In Week 9, though, we were back to seeing a majority of games cash the UNDER with eight of the 13 contests going below the total. For the season the UNDER has cashed n...
Did I say I’m a huge fan of teasers? Well, that’s true and even I can’t believe the good fortune on my picks over the last several weeks. My heater continued in Week 9 hitting all three three-team teasers for the fifth time in six weeks. The idea of teasing a line is to help bettors in their picks and eventually produce more winners. Buying additional points comes at a cost since they are supposed to help the bettor thus the payout isn’t as large. But that’s offset with consistent wins. And I’ve...
When playing a parlay it’s all or nothing; coming close doesn’t count. And we went another week hitting on a few picks while not hitting on others proving once again just how difficult it is to bet on the NFL. How do you make sense of a league where double digit dogs win outright seemingly every week? Yep, it happened again in Week 9 with the Jets stunning Buffalo 20-17 while catching 10.5 points on the closing line. As we move ahead keep in mind this article is for information purposes only looking at specific games that can be included in a winning parlay card. ...
Although the Los Angeles Chargers are 5-3 and the San Francisco 49ers are 4-4, the 49ers are seen as much more of a postseason contender. San Francisco has dealt with a number of injuries once again, hurting this team through the first half of the regular season. They are still without a handful of starters on defense, but they have the second lowest odds to win the NFC behind Philadelphia and are a team that no one wants to take on in the playoffs.The San Francisco 49ers have had two weeks to p...
I released mid-season favorite, underdog, and longshot selections to cash in on the Super Bowl LVII odds last week. They included the San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, and Washington Commanders. We beat the market with the first two selections, but swung and missed with the Commanders who let last week’s game against the Vikings get away from them late.Heading into Week 10...
Are you ready for another week of ugly dog picks in the NFL? We bounced back from our first losing week of the season with a nice 3-1 ATS last week. That improves the season record to 22-16-1 ATS. Some of the best bets in the NFL each week are oftentimes wagers on teams that are considered the worst in the league. If you want to win money betting NFL games then you need to be willing to take teams no one else wants to bet. We refer to these teams as ugly dogs and you really have to hold your nose sometimes when you bet on them, but history has shown that going against the public works. We have five games to look at for this week. Let’s look at the NFL Week 10 Ugly Dog picks. ...
When these teams met 11 days ago, 60 minutes wasn’t enough to decide the affair. The Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers were tied at 34 at the end of regulation, and they needed another period to determine a winner. Atlanta took advantage of a missed field goal to get the win, putting the Falcons atop the NFC South. They relinquished their hold on the division after last week’s loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, but a win here would move them back to .500 on the year. The Atlanta Falcons will look to reclaim control of the NFC South on Thursday Night Football when they face the Carolina Panthers. This game will be played on Thursday, November 10, 2022, at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. ...
After several weeks of success on my NFL top total plays I endured a losing Week 8. Losing is a risk when it comes to gambling so expect that to happen. When wagering on the NFL every week the key is to win more than you lose and so far I’ve been able to do that turning a small profit so far. It looks like the offense is picking up around the league with 56 percent of the games cashing the OVER in the past three weeks. However, with nearly 54 percent of the games ending below the total, the UNDE...
I’m becoming a huge fan of teasing lines and spreads on NFL games. For the fourth time in five weeks I hit a three-team winner putting me well up. And when you get on a heater you have to keep riding it. The idea of a teaser is to help the bettor. You buy points to help your team win the specific bet. It sounds easy enough, but it’s actually much harder than most realize. Heck, I’m totally surprised at the success I’ve enjoyed over the last few weeks. Buying points decreases the payout and just ...
For those who play parlays you know how difficult it is to hit multiple winners on a single card. The higher payout is inviting, which is why we do it, but the odds of failure are much higher. After hitting four winners in Week 7, the first time that happened, I returned to normalcy last week splitting my picks. Is it me or are we seeing more crazy stuff happening around the NFL this season? I’ve been fairly consistent hitting a number of my picks, and like I’ve said this article is for informat...
With eight weeks in the books, it’s time to take stock in what the Super Bowl LVII futures odds portfolio looks like. Before the regular season kicked off, my favorite, underdog, and longshot selections were as follows: Buffalo Bills +650, Baltimore Ravens +2200, and New York Giants +10000. Heading into Week 5, I added shares of the Philadelphia Eagles +686, Minnesota Vikings +...
The Baltimore Ravens will look to head into their bye week with a 6-3 record to maintain first place in the AFC North, but it’s not easy to beat the New Orleans Saints in the Big Easy. New Orleans is coming off a shutout win over the Las Vegas Raiders last week, and the Saints are trying to make up ground on Atlanta in their division race. We will officially reach the midway point of the NFL regular season after this week’s Monday Night Football showdown between the Baltimore Ravens and New Orleans Saints. These teams will meet at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana on Monday, November 7, 2022, at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. ...
Andy Reid has been one of the best coaches in the NFL over his two-plus decades with the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs. Reid is 238-137-1 (.634 winning percentage) in his 24 seasons as a head coach, and he has won 71.1% of his games on the sidelines of Kansas City. The long-time head coach is known for his great gameplans, leading to the Chiefs being enormous favorites against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday Night Football. Reid is 20-3 following a bye week, and although Tennessee has won five in a row, none of those victories were too impressive. The Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs are looking to chase down the Buffalo Bills for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. They will meet on Sunday Night Football from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri on Sunday, November 6, 2022, at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC. ...
Are you ready for another week of ugly dog picks in the NFL? It had to happen, as we are coming off our first bad week, as we went 1-4 ATS. We still have a winning record for the season at 19-15-1 ATS. Some of the best bets in the NFL each week are oftentimes wagers on teams that are considered the worst in the league. If you want to win money betting NFL games then you need to be willing to take teams no one else wants to bet. We refer to these teams as ugly dogs and you really have to hold your nose sometimes when you bet on them, but history has shown that going against the public works. We have four games to look at for this week. Let’s look at the NFL Week 9 Ugly Dog picks. ...
The unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles are heavy favorites to move to 8-0 on Thursday Night Football. Philadelphia will face the 1-5-1 Houston Texans, and the oddsmakers aren’t giving Houston much of a chance. The Texans opened as 13.5-point underdogs by the NFL betting odds as their only victory this year came against the Jacksonville Jaguars. After having Week 7 off, the Philadelphia Eagles will play their second game in five days on Thursday Night Football. They will travel to NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas to face the Houston Texans on Thursday, November 3, 2022, at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video. ...
It’s been a rough year for the Cleveland Browns. They won two of their first three games, but they have since lost four straight contests. Four of their five losses this season have been by three points or less, so they could easily be over .500 heading into their game with the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football. However, if they lose this game, they will go into their bye week at 2-6, and that might lead to the Browns being sellers ahead of the NFL trade deadline on Tuesday.The Cincinn...
Last week, I broke the underachievers down that were expected to make noise at the online sportsbook, but have grossly failed to live up to expectations heading into the Week 7 NFL betting slate. Included in the mix were Tampa Bay, San Francisco, Green Bay, Indianapolis, Miami, Las Vegas, and Denver. Of those seven teams, only the Raiders and Dolphins saw their odds to win Super Bowl LVII get shorter due to coming up with a Week 8 win. The 49ers did so only because of bringing Christian McCaffrey in from Carolina. This week, I’m taking a look at overlooked teams not expected to make noise but have gone on to stir the pot regardless. Do any of these teams have what it takes to see it all the way through? In other words, are we confidently adding any of these teams to the futures portfolio? Let’s dig in and find out! ...
At the start of the season, it looked like this game would be a doozy. The Buffalo Bills were the favorites to win the Super Bowl coming into this season, while the Green Bay Packers had three straight 13-win campaigns. However, while the Bills have lived up to (and even surpassed) preseason expectations, the Packers have fallen apart. Green Bay has lost three straight games ahead of this tilt, so the Packers are double-digit road underdogs per the NFL betting odds on Sunday Night Football. The best team in the NFL will be back in action after a bye week as the Buffalo Bills headline Sunday Night Football against the Green Bay Packers. These teams will meet on Sunday, October 30, 2022, at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. ...
It was another good week on my NFL total plays hitting two of three to put me further in the black. After a rough start I’ve gone 9-3 over the last four weeks with both under picks coming through in Week 7. It shouldn’t be that much of a surprise since 57.9 percent of the games ended below the closing total. The games were evenly split last week with seven cashing the UNDER. For just the second time this season we didn’t have more games end below the total, but we still haven’t had a week with more OVERS. ...
Sometimes teasing lines on NFL games can tease your emotions. After three straight weeks of three-team winners I came within an eyelash of extending that major heater only to be undone by the underachieving Indianapolis Colts. It looks like the betting Gods were going to get back some of the coin they lost this month. Oh well, I can’t complain too much after the successful run and just like in sports you can’t win them all. Things always have a way of evening out so maybe I was due. But damn that outcome still gets me. ...
Winning a bet is satisfying and even more so when cashing in several of them. Though I hit winners on my parlay picks I never hit them all, until last week. And as we know every wager on a multi-team parlay has to win in order to cash that winning ticket. It’s hard enough getting a single game winner let alone several of them so I will savor this moment. For obvious reasons the payout on a winning parlay ticket is much better. I was big on the Raiders last week and that paid off with them covering the 7-point line in a 38-20 win over Houston. It took a fourth quarter outburst to do it, but that’s why the games are 60 minutes. I also won a moneyline bet with the Cowboys, who beat Detroit 24-6. The price was steep in that one but winning is what matters. Me and the Boys took care of that. Backing the favorite should be the easy part on your parlay card but that’s not always how it works. Favorites were 8-6 SU and 6-8 ATS in Week 7. ...