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Old School Meets New School
We’ve seen a number of lines jump around early in the Week 7 college football betting week, which could just be an overreaction now that we’re roughly half way through the season. The Group of Five conferences have seen significant early movement with the Mountain West having a number of games bounce around. The New Mexico-Colorado State matchup even jumped the fence with the Rams going from a 1-point opening favorite to a 1-point dog....
Week seven college football offers the potential for a multitude of upsets. In fact, this could be a week where gamblers really want to consider underdogs first. The board has some big favorites that could prove to be overlays against quality opponents. With that in mind we have an attractive list of two underdog parlays. Our home dog parlay has some potentially very dangerous pups with sharp bite. And our Unwanted and Unloved Parlay consists of teams that we will fade the public with while doin...
After going 3-1 ATS with my Fade The Public Plays in Week 5, last week’s plays ended up losing money. The week got off to a great start as Utah State hammered BYU on the road despite being a short underdog, but then things took a screeching turn right off a cliff. Virginia Tech was crushed by Notre Dame, Arizona State came up short against Colorado, and Arkansas pushed against Alabama. To be fair, if you grabbed Arkansas at any other time during the week, you won because of that backdoor cover, ...
If you followed my total plays last week, all I can say is I’m sorry. This might not be baseball, but I still deserve a golden sombrero for going 0-4 and missing the mark wildly on two of my plays. The over in UCF/SMU and the under in Washington/UCLA were at least close and had a decent shot at getting the win throughout. However, the under in UMass/USF and the over in Virginia Tech/Notre Dame never really had a chance. There is no erasing the past and going backward at this point though, so the...
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish look to be a formidable team fighting for a berth in the College Football Playoff. Playing on the road for just the second time this season, the Irish entered a hostile environment against Virginia Tech and took down the No. 24 Hokies, 45-23, by pulling away in the second half. Notre Dame has been vastly improved offensively since Ian Book took over as the starting quarterback. In his three starts the Irish are averaging 23 points more per game than they scored in t...
Week seven has seen the Alabama Crimson Tide remain the overwhelming favorite to win college football’s national championship but from there the remaining choices have seen some noticeable price changes based on last week’s results. Indeed, the Clemson Tigers destruction of the Demon Deacons at Wake Forest has garnered justifiable attention and restoration of faith. The Ohio State Buckeyes and Georgia Bulldogs continue to plod in workmanlike fashion. But the two teams that made huge strides with...
It was another week of surprises and revelations for gamblers in week six of college football. Perhaps no conference has shown top values and teams to oppose than the American Athletic Conference. There were College Football Playoffs confirmed contenders (Notre Dame) and pretenders (Oklahoma). Overlays on sure things once again blew up and there wer...
Week seven live betting gets off to a great start thanks to a Big 12 Thursday night game between two teams that are capable but struggling when the TCU Horned Frogs host the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Inconsistency has plagued both teams and they have little margin for error. Additionally, there has been a good share of criticism for both teams as more was expected from them. Once again Texas Tech has a great offense but no defense. For TCU they again have a good but not great defense and an offens...
Week seven will include a Friday night appetizer on ESPN when the struggling Tulsa Golden Hurricane hosts the undefeated University of South Florida Bulls in American Athletic Conference action. There are a multitude of live betting angles and possibilities to consider. The overall weakness of Tulsa could leave betting opportunities on South Florida. But you may also find plenty of opportunities on fading the public by taking potentially enhanced betting value on the Golden Hurricane. In fact, S...
Week seven includes what will be one of the most important Pac 12 Conference games all season as the Oregon Ducks will be a potentially live home dog when they host a Washington Huskies team that is considered the favorite to win the league. Washington features one of the top defenses in the country but has suffered from an inconsistent offense that has been a source of perpetual frustration. Oregon has a good offense but has been quite vulnerable on defense. As a result, the live betting matchu...
Week seven includes an important Big Ten Conference matchup between the Michigan State Spartans and Penn State Nittany Lions as both teams are coming off painful home losses. For the Spartans their loss last week at home to Northwestern was a stark reminder about their offensive limitations. For Penn State their home loss two weeks ago in their white out game against Ohio State has been seen by many as a give away that fans will need a long time to get over. With both teams looking to get back o...
The Utah Utes finally won a conference game last week, and they are looking to make it two in a row this Friday night when they take on the Arizona Wildcats. Utah narrowly lost to Washington State two weeks ago, but the Utes got out a lot of frustration in a 40-21 rout of Stanford in Palo Alto on Saturday. Meanwhile, Arizona is feeling much better after bad losses to BYU and Houston to start the season, and the Wildcats have won three of their last four. The loser of this game is essentially eli...
The Michigan Wolverines have yet to finish higher than third in the Big Ten East under Jim Harbaugh, and that has the locals a little grumpy. Harbaugh is in no danger of losing his job anytime in the near future after posting a 28-11 record in his previous three seasons and turning around a rudderless program. However, there are whispers that while Harbaugh is great at turning teams around, he isn’t the right person to lead them over the hump. He is looking to silence the remaining doubters this...
The Georgia Bulldogs are on a collision course to meet Alabama once again near the end of the college football season. However, this time it may be in the SEC Championship game with a berth in the CFP at stake. With a gauntlet of games upcoming for the Bulldogs, they better not look ahead to what could be. The next four opponents on Georgia’s schedule are all currently ranked beginning with Saturday’s trip to Death Valley to take on the LSU Tigers, who saw their chances of winning the SEC West t...
Opening line shifts for Week 6 of the College Football season have been plentiful, but they haven’t been significant. We’ve seen movement in a number of games, however just few by more than a field goal. That’s an indication that oddsmakers are for the most part in line with how the betting public sees this week’s games....
Week six has seen the Alabama Crimson Tide continue to grow in esteem with gamblers betting on the college football national championship for 2018. The Tide was even money last week but has been pounded all the way to 4/7 for week six. Sure, Alabama has looked unbeatable but they have yet to play a serious opponent. Eventually the Tide is going to be tested. And one of the most dangerous items on any wagering board is a foregone conclusion. As of now the Crimson Tide may indeed be the best team. It is not at all certain that they are also the best value. With that in mind we’ll analyze Alabama and some other choices that may bring more for the dollar. ...
Week Six offers a tremendous lineup of games that will start in the morning and carry on past midnight. There are a multitude of matchups that could very well have implications for the college football playoff picture. Along those same lines in preparing for this week’s parlays there are a couple of promising angles that come to mind. First, there are a host of abandoned dogs that the public will avoid at all costs. Which is why these dogs could offer enhanced wagering value for those willing to...
Last week, my total plays went 2-2. The under in Boston College and Temple never had a chance, and Central Florida’s defense completely shut down Pittsburgh’s offense to keep that game from going over the total. In the two wins, I was a bit fortunate in the Texas Tech and West Virginia game as the under cashed by a scant 1.5 points, but I was dead on with the under in Mississippi State and Florida. It’s time to turn a profit with the Week 6 Total Plays....
If you took the advice I gave out last week in this spot, your account is a little bit heavier today. No need for thanks or congratulations, although a Venmo or two might be nice. Last week’s picks went 3-1 ATS with Tulane winning outright as a two-touchdown underdog, Washington easily covering the number against BYU, and Kansas State erasing a 19-point deficit to get within the spread against Texas. The lone loss was Coastal Carolina failing to cover the number against Troy....
Week five was among the best and most exciting so far of the 2018 college football season. Gamblers again had their ups and downs as the question of value was paramount. The Penn State Nittany Lions painful home loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes was of no problem for PSU backers as the home dog still got the money. The Alabama Crimson Tide once again steamrolled an opponent but proved to be an overlay in the process. The Georgia Bulldogs also proved to be an overlay in their win over the Tennessee...
Week 6 college football action begins with an appetizer from the American Athletic Conference with one of that league’s top favorites against a struggling road dog that faces oblivion before the season even reaches the halfway point. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane can be plucky at times but ultimately has proven to be outgunned in most of its games. The Houston Cougars have proven to be half of a team in that they boast the nation’s top ranked offenses which is offset by a defense that is virtually ...
Week 6 preliminary action incudes a challenging Friday night matchup from the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Louisville Cardinals are in free fall just two years removed from having a Heisman Trophy winning quarterback and being in the conversation for the college football playoff. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets stopped their own bleeding last week but that does not take away from their disappointing start. While both teams can still attain bowl eligibility neither has any margin for error. Whi...
With impressive resurgence after a disappointing week one loss to the Maryland Terrapins the Texas Longhorns are catching attention and respect, especially with a defense that is among the most improved in the country. However, the Longhorns will be facing a supreme challenge going up against one of the most sophisticated and explosive offenses in the country. Indeed, the Oklahoma Sooners boast a bona fide Heisman Trophy candidate in quarterback Kyler Murray. The matchup of the Oklahoma offense ...
Week six includes what could be one of the top games all season thus far as the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are flashing championship form since changing quarterbacks while the Virginia Tech Hokies got back on track in a most impressive win last week at Duke after a humiliating loss at Old Dominion two weeks ago that they may never totally live down. Virginia Tech will host Notre Dame in a matchup of teams that could be evenly matched. And while Notre Dame may have the advantage at quarterback the...
Two teams on opposite ends of the SEC West spectrum are set to tangle in a Week 6 matchup with the nation’s top-ranked team playing in only its second true road game of the season. The Alabama Crimson Tide kept its standing as the No. 1 ranked team with yet another blowout win, a 56-14 thrashing of Louisiana-Lafayette. The Tide opened as a 34-point favorite against the Arkansas Razorbacks, a lofty number but considering Bama’s starters have yet to finish a game, there could be some money to win ...